Total betting strategy. The Bolivian Championship is an ideal option for betting on "total over" Strategy total over 0.5 in football

13.06.2019

Most of the players avoid the Bolivian Football Championship, considering the tournament to be a true "black forest". In fact, it is not so difficult to understand the ups and downs of this exotic tournament, it is only important to know what and from whom you can expect. This material will help to understand in general terms the features of the championship and give an idea of ​​the key confrontations, principal rivals.

General information about the championship

The tournament started in 1914, but at that time the championship was played among teams from one city - La Paz. Over time, the tournament evolved and united more and more clubs, thus by 1958 the first unified championship of Bolivia was formed. It is believed that full-fledged championships began to be held only in 1977, but clubs have counted the number of their titles since 1958.

Currently, the tournament is held according to the standard South American system in two stages - Apertura and Clausura. The full name of the championship is Liga de Fútbol Profesional Boliviano.

Brief historical statistics:

  • First Champion - "Jorge Wilstermann" (1958)
  • The first champion in the framework of a full-fledged championship - "Strongest" (1977)
  • Most titled club "Bolivar"(25 trophies)

Number of trophies held by other clubs:

  • "Strongest" - 14
  • "Jorge Wilstermann" -11
  • "Oriente Petrolero" - 5
  • "Blooming" - 5

Principal confrontations

Derbies in South America are somewhat different from standard European ones, where in most cases passions are running high, and rivals are trying to win at any cost. In most national championships of the Continent, the largest number of teams represent the capital or major cities. Bolivia in this case is no exception, the championship is represented by seven cities. List of participants by city:

  1. La Paz (pop. 887,000)
  • "Bolivar"
  • "Strongest"

The two most titled teams in Bolivia represent, oddly enough, one city. This confrontation is considered one of the most fundamental in the country, the heat of passion in these matches would be the envy of many derbies in Europe.

  1. Santa Cruz de la Sierra (pop. 1,600,000)
  • "Blooming"
  • "Oriente Petrolero"
  • "Sport Boys Warns"
  • "Destroyers"
  • "Royal Paris"

The main derby of the city is the confrontation between Blooming and Oriente Petrolero. The two clubs have 10 Bolivian league titles, this opposition can be put in second place after the La Paz derby.

  1. Cachabamba (pop. 896,000)
  • "Jorge Wilstermann"
  • "Aurora"

The Derby of Kachabmaba cannot be called overly principled - over the past six years, Aurora has only managed to defeat its more status and titled opponent once.

  1. Potosi (pop. 160,000)
  • "Real Potosi"
  • "Nacional Potosi"

Derby Potosi can be called relatively young - Nacional debuted in the elite only in 2009. "Real Potosi" is the main team of the city - "Imperial Lion" in its history has the title of champion, as well as international achievements. The main attraction of this derby is the Real Madrid stadium - Victor Agustin Ugarte, which is located at an altitude of 4000 meters above sea level, which makes it the highest stadium in the world.

  1. Oruro (pop. 210,000)
  • "San Jose Oruro"
  1. Sucre (pop. 295,000)
  • "Universitario Sucre"

The city is represented in the elite of Bolivian football by one club, but the traditional rival of Universitario Sucre is Real Potosi, as it happened historically. The confrontations of these teams very often become a real decoration of the tournament, for example, matches in 2018:

03/12/18 Universitario Sucre - Real Potosi: 3:1

02/01/18 Real Potosi - Universitario Sucre: 4:4

  1. Montero (pop. 87,000)
  • "Guabira"

The strength of Bolivian football in 2018

The specifics of the tournament are as follows - practically the three strongest clubs in the country are indisputably in the lead - Bolivar, Strongest and Jorge Wilstermann.

After 9 rounds played in Group A, the leader is Jorge Wilstermann. Group B - "Strongest". Bolivar lost a few points in the tournament and is still behind the leaders, but we can say with full confidence that Dean will still make up for it. "Strongest" is pressing from below "Blooming", which is also not surprising - "Millionaires" traditionally claim the highest places. List of champions of the last 5 years:

  • Clausura and Apertura - "Strongest"
  • Clausura - "Bolivar", Apertura - "Strongest"
  • Clausura - "Universitario Sucre", Apertura - "Bolivar"
  • Clausura - "Bolivar", Apertura - "Sport Boys"
  • Clausura - "Jorge Wilstermann", Apertura - "Strongest"
  • Clausura and Apertura - "Bolivar"

As can be seen from the list, the giants rarely give any of the opponents the opportunity to fly up to the podium. However, when this happens, bookmakers do not believe in the success of an outsider to the last and put up very tasty odds, but at the moment such a trend is not expected.

dark horses

Before the start of the tournament, almost any team can be included in the list of clubs that can surprise you, this is already the Bolivian championship. In 2018, there are several clubs that surprise in a good way:

  1. "Destroyers"


The debutant of the current Apertura was able to climb up to the fourth position, gaining 10 points in nine matches. Until the ninth round, the team of Jose Peña had a series of five matches without defeat, but interrupted it with a home defeat from Jorge Wilstermann. In this championship Los Canarios produced some amazing matches:

  • 03.18 Oriente Petrolero - Destroyers: 4:4
  • 02.18 Destroyers - Bolívar: 2:2
  • 02.18 Destroyers - Oriente Petrolero: 3:1

Taking points away from Bolivar and the strong Oriente Petrolero in this way can be far from every club in the league, and given the fact that the Detroyers are newcomers to the tournament, this achievement can be considered a complete success. It is noteworthy that the bookmakers gave odds of 4.75 for the victory of Los Canarios against Oriente Petrolero.

  1. "San Jose Oruro"

Of course, the Saints cannot be called a club from which no one expects victories, but the team achieved its last success more than 10 years ago. Eduardo Villegas' San Jose Oruro is currently third in Group B, just three points behind the Strongest. The Saints have already taken points from the Strongest twice this season, which not every team succeeds.

Weak spots

In almost every South American championship, there is such a tendency - before and during the start of the Libertadores Cup or the South American Cup, the giants often "drain" the matches of the national championships. Bolivia is no exception, even more so - on the eve of international fights, mentors can even put up youth for the championship match. Such a rotation, of course, affects the odds, but nevertheless, the bookmaker does not give odds below 3.00 for the opponent of Bolivar or Strongest. A prime example of this:

  • 03.18 Jorge Wilstermann - Bolívar: 4:2

On March 15, Bolivar has a game in the Copa Libertadores with Colo Colo, respectively, for the match on March 11, Vincius Eutropio exposes youth. Bookmakers, of course, had time to react at the last moment to such a coaching “feint”, but 6-8 days before the match, the same “sweet” three was offered.

List of participants in continental club tournaments from Bolivia for the player to note:

  • Bolivar (Copa Libertadores)
  • Strongest (Copa Libertadores)
  • Guabira (South American Cup)
  • "Blooming" (South American Cup)
  • "Nacional Potosi" (South American Cup)

Ideal option for betting on "total over"

The Bolivian Championship is one of the highest scoring tournaments in South America. Results like 0-0 or 1:0 are almost never found here. This applies not only to matches where leaders take part, even an avid outsider scores 4-5 goals per match several times a season. The odds bookmaker on the outcome of overtime (2.5) gives an average of 1.65, but the option with overtime (3) will already bring a solid increase in the form of 1.95 per match. Confirmation in numbers (average number of goals per match in 2018):

  • 1 round - 4.16 goals per match
  • Round 2 - 4 goals per match
  • Round 3 - 3 goals per match
  • Round 4 - 2.1 goals per match
  • Round 5 - 3.71 goals per match
  • Round 6 - 3 goals per match
  • Round 7 - 2.2 goals per match
  • Round 8 - 4 goals per match
  • Round 9 - 2.42 goals per match

By simple calculations, you can deduce the average total of one game in the Bolivian championship - 3.16 goals. With an average coefficient per TB (3) of 1.95, one will be surprised at the final profit.

Most scoring teams:

  • Jorge Wilstermann - 2.22 goals per game
  • Bolívar - 2.11 goals per match
  • Real Potosi - 2.11 goals per game
  • Oriente Petrolero - 2.00 goals per game

Most skipping teams:

  • Real Potosi - 3.22 goals per game
  • Destroyers - 2.22 goals per game
  • Oriente Petrolero - 1.78 goals per match
  • Guabira - 1.78 goals per game

conclusions

The Bolivian championship is ideal for players who prefer to bet on the "top" of the total. It is not uncommon in Apertura to score 4:4 or 6:3, such results can be seen in almost every round. It is not surprising that performance records in international club tournaments were recorded in those matches where teams from Bolivia participated. It is necessary to choose based on the tables above. Particular attention can be focused on the matches of principal rivals, or in the derbies described in this material. Also, do not forget about the matches preceding international tournaments - in them very often the giants put up not just a reserve, but youth squads.

Hi all! I want to introduce you to a simple and quite effective way to make money on bets. You have to bet on total over/ total under. There are several simple schemes that guarantee fairly decent profits in a relatively short period of time.

Before getting acquainted with these schemes, I advise you to pay attention to the following features:

First. Choose the optimal amount for bets. Don't start with huge amounts. In my opinion, it’s worth starting with an amount from $3 to $10.

Second. Find a reliable bookmaker that has no problems with withdrawing funds.

Third. Bet on those matches that you have no doubts about.

And now we proceed directly to the analysis of the schemes.

Live Total Betting

In this type of betting, you must be guided by several principles:

a) We choose teams with a clear favorite (it’s even better to pay attention to teams that score 2 or more goals per match).

b) Find bookmakers where live betting on odds over 0.5 is possible.

c) If necessary, analyze the teams for injuries in the attacking line.

The betting strategy itself, according to which we will bet on the total over 0.5:

  1. We choose a match where a clear favorite stands out, in our case it will be Milan - Amkar, we will bet on Milan.
  2. We follow the match, if the favorite does not score in the first half, we bet on it. Individual total is more than 0.5 - given that we had a low coefficient initially, then after the first half it will definitely rise significantly.
  3. As a rule, stronger teams exert significant pressure in the second half of the match, so you can bet a larger amount.
  4. By betting $20 on the favorite, we will have the following, during the break the coefficient will rise to 1.6, from the above, the risks are minimal, we get: $20x1.6=$32, that is, we get $12 “clean”.

The disadvantage of this betting strategy is obvious, very few leading teams do not score against outsiders in the first half, therefore, it is necessary to constantly monitor updates on matches of various championships.

Bets with total over 0.5 (1.5)

  1. We find an office offering this type of totals (not all bookmakers like this coefficient).
  2. We choose a match with a clear favorite in our case it will be Bayern - Werder Bremen
  3. For this match, the odds for Bayern over 0.5 is 1.2, which suits us. It is necessary to understand that betting on a coefficient less than 1.05 is simply an empty risk, based on the fact that some offices charge a commission for withdrawing funds from 4 to 7%!
  4. We put conditional $10 - we get $12 at the output. That is net $2. Thus, betting on 12 matches that have a clear favorite, we get (considering this coefficient, of course, it varies for different teams, but I consider this one to be average) 12 × 2 $ = $ 24 of a net exit, with minimal risk.

As a separate item, you can consider teams that need to win over an opponent, in this case, you can bet on a total over 1.5 - the odds will be higher, respectively.

This system can be used not only for football, it is working, as you can see, in any sport: total over for basketball teams, total over for hockey and volleyball - all this works in exactly the same way, only the difference will be in the minimum total figure.

The disadvantage of this scheme is that sometimes the favorites “misfire”.

Bets on a weak team with a total less than 0.5 (1.5)

In fact, the principle is the same, only it is necessary to build on the opposite. We are looking for a weak team in a pair or a team where the attack is weak / the attacking players are “broken”. And we bet according to the same scheme as mentioned above, only for a total less than 0.5 (for football). On another sport, such as hockey, volleyball, basketball, the total is under the lowest value in the line.

It is worth betting on a total less than 1.5 if the team has a pronounced defensive formation or is set to keep the ball during the match.

The downside may be the unexpected victory of the “weak” team (again, this happens extremely rarely)

Bets on individual totals in tennis

This sport for betting is one of the most difficult and unpredictable, I would advise you to stop at this type of bet as an individual total over 13.5 or 14.5. These totals are suitable for games that take place on classic surfaces. When a match is played on surfaces other than those mentioned above, it is better to refrain from this type of betting.

When you play according to the strategy of an individual total over 13.5/14.5, you must follow two rules:

1. It is necessary to bet on someone who clearly dominates the opponent, but plays against a strong opponent with inconstancy: it is usually better to look at those who have an approximate win-loss ratio against them.

  1. Bets on total over 13.5/14.5 should be placed on tennis players who show their strong game, but are not in perfect shape, and who play with tennis players with a strong serve, but who do not take serves well.

I note that it is better for beginners in tennis betting to start with bets on the overall total, where it is easier to calculate the outcome than in the individual total. Over time, switch to the above type of bets in order to secure your bank.

I have given a brief overview of the most popular Total Over/Total Under betting strategies. I would like to emphasize that the main thing is not to forget about the correct calculation of the clear favorite / outsider and remember that you need to bet wisely based on the knowledge of the teams, the injured players in them, the general form of the team in the season and the priorities set within the club, regardless of the sport .

Total over 0.5 in football.
A betting system that allows you to get a significant amount of profit without exposing your bankroll to risk. As the title makes clear, we will bet on over 0.5 goals in the match. This means that we bet that at least one goal will be scored by any team. Only result 0-0 break our chain of victories. If you choose matches carefully, you can easily achieve a chain of 30-60 wins.

This is what we are striving for.
The system is progressive. This means that for each next match we bet everything that we won in the previous one. We repeat this until it seems to us that it is time to stop.
The system is good for use on betfair, on inplay markets (in play)- that is, during the game.
To use it, trading skills or any additional knowledge on the Betfair exchange are not required. The ability to make a simple ordinary bet will be enough. The reason why Betfair is suitable is because of the high odds (higher than the bookmakers) and high liquidity in almost all matches.

First

First, decide on the size of the bet. You don't need huge sums. 2 or 10 dollars will be enough.

Second

Find a game where you think at least one goal will be scored. If you are not an expert in football, you can use the predictions of others.

Third

Select the market "total over 0.5 goals"

In the picture above, our case is highlighted in yellow - "one goal or more in a match"
Do not place a bet before the game! Wait for the match to start. This system works during the match. We will place a bet as soon as the odds increase slightly.

Several options for entering the game:
- if you are aiming for a quick goal, then place a bet immediately after the start of the game.
Tip: the coefficient for the bet must be at least 1.11 ! Don't bet on odds below this. If an early goal was scored before the odds became acceptable, it's a pity. Switch to the next match. Don't forget that Betfair takes commissions. 5% from your profit, so wait for the coefficient at least 1.11 .
- you can wait 30 minutes as most goals are scored after this time mark. By this time, the coefficient will increase enough.
-You can choose not to bet in the first half and bet in the second. The rate will be higher 1.2 which will increase the gain.
You decide what is most convenient for you!

Let's see how much we can win with this system with a $10 bet.
If you bet with an average odd of 1.10, then 30 consecutive wins will give you
$10 x 17 = $170!
If you bet with an average odd of 1.20, then 30 consecutive wins will give you
10$ x 237 = 2.370$!
As you can see, the system is worthy of attention!

What does the total mean in sports betting, in particular football, I want to understand every novice bettor. After all, these options can significantly increase the odds of the bet and increase the winnings.

Total (Total is a bettor's bet on the number of goals expected to be scored.. Such a bet is made in relation to the fixed result offered by the bookmaker. Better chooses a value greater or less than the proposed one. There are several typesTotal:

  • Match results.
  • According to the results of the half or period (Total for the first and second, or only for one of them).
  • The individual total of a certain player (team) - for his goals, yellow / red cards, etc. It is designated as iTB, iTM.

What is the total of the match - this is the total number of all goals scored during the competition. Moreover, the goal of both opponents is considered, and the outcome of the match (who won) is not taken into account.

The total of a half or period implies that the counting of events will be carried out within the framework of not the entire match, but a certain segment (half or period).

What is an individual total in bets - these are the achievements of one, usually a rated player, for example, scorer. Sometimes they bet not on achievements, but, on the contrary, on failures (the number of goals conceded, etc.). Also, the individual total is over or under 1; 2; 3 etc. may not be related to the athlete, but to the achievements of the team.

What is total over (TB) and total under (TM)

By betting onTotal, the better does not indicate the estimated number of goals, but only chooses more or less. Therefore, totals are classified into:

  • The total is more than the bookmaker offers - the symbolic value of TB.
  • The total is less than the bookmaker offers - the symbolic value of TM.

In the lines of bookmakers you can often find an offer to bet on total over 0.5; 1; 1.5; 2; 2.5; 3; 3.5; 4; 4.5; 5 etc. – what does it mean in football betting? It is important to understand that fractional totals (1.5) are different from whole totals (2). For example, a fractional Total greater than 2.5, if you bet on it, will only go in a situation in which the result of the competition is at least three goals. In case there are 0 goals; 1 or 2 - the bet will not go in.

And in the case of a solid TO 2, with a result of goals for the match 2, there will be a refund of the bet. Wanting to bet more on Total, the player chooses from the range of values ​​(from TB 0.5 to TB 6) provided by the bookmaker for this event. Bet onTotal greater than 0.5 means that the number of goals can be any, the main thing is that there is no draw.

Total less than 0.5; 1; 1.5; 2; 2.5; 3; 3.5; 4; 4.5; 5; 5.5; 6 goals in sports betting, including football - what does it mean? In this case, as with TB, you need to choose one of the options offered by the bookmaker. For example, in a match between Dynamo and Vorskla, BC offers bets on Total less than 0.5; 2; 3.5. Better is sure that the teams' motivation is low and they will play sluggishly. Therefore, he bets on Total less than 0.5 or 2. In the case of Under 2, the match must end with the results 1-0, 0-1, 0-0. If the bet TM is 0.5, then it will go in only in case of a draw.

Asian total in bets - what is it

The classic total multiple of 0.5 (this is 0.5; 1; 1.5; 2; 3.5, etc.) is, in principle, everything that is described above. There is also Total, a multiple of an integer - 1; 2; 3.

In football, forecasts can also be made for the Asian total, which is more "sensitive" than 0.5 or 1, since it is a multiple of 0.25. What does this option give the better? All the same safety net, as in the bet on a double outcome. After all, the Asian total involves a combo bet on 2 adjacent TB or TM (0.75; 1.75; 2.75, etc.). For example, we chose the TB rate of 2.25 and bet 100 rubles on it. In such a situation, the following results are possible:

  • The better receives all winnings if 3 goals or more are scored.
  • If 1 goal is scored during the match, the bet is not successful and the money is lost.
  • If 2 goals are scored, the better receives a refund of half the bet (50 rubles). This is due to the peculiarities of the Asian total, because it is decomposed into two bets, a multiple of 0.5, located next to each other (TB 2 and 2.5). And the wagered money is also distributed equally between two adjacent bets.

The advantages of such a bet are manifested in situations where the bettor needs to make the most flexible and less risky prediction, depending on the characteristics of a sporting event. Total with a multiplicity of 0.25 increases the chances of a bet to enter, and reduces the likelihood of losing or returning a bet.

What is a three-way total (including corners) in bets

What does a three-way total mean in betting - this is the total of the match, which consists of three options - TB, TM or “equal to a certain value”. This type of bet is quite difficult to predict, so the odds here are higher than usual.

There is also such an option as an individual three-way total 1 (teams 1) or an individual three-way total 2 (teams 2). Here the goals are counted not by both teams, but by one specific one. And then choose greater than, less than or equal to.

What is an individual three-way total on corners - this is the same as betting on an individual total of a match (player or team) on corners. Only quotes in this case are higher, in particular, if the better chooses the option “equal to a certain exact number of goals”.

Today we will consider a fairly popular betting system on Goal in the first half. As you understand it will be about football matches. Let's start, as usual, with the essence of the strategy, consider an example for understanding, and study the betting algorithms in LIVE mode. Yes, it is in Live that you will often have to use a strategy. Well, at the end, as usual, there will be a conclusion.

The essence of the strategy Goal in the first half

As already managed to guess it is necessary to predict. which of the teams will be able to score a goal in the first half of a football match. This bet has its own name - First half total over 0.5 or TB 0.5 if abbreviated. Naturally, there is nothing complicated at first glance. But what is the salt?

How to choose the right team for a bet

For team selection, there are several approaches that will need to be covered so that you have a full clip of options. Moreover, it will be useful for general development.

Selecting a command using a formula

We select a football event, for example K1 - K2. To determine who to bet on, you need to look at the statistics of the last 5 matches and how many goals they scored in the first half. For the calculation, we use the coefficients: a goal scored at home is 1 goal, a goal scored away is 2 goals, a goal conceded at home is 2 goals, a goal conceded away is 1 goal. Using these parameters, we calculate the statistics for 5 games.

  • For example, for K1 - scored 1 goal at home = 1 goal, scored 2 goals away = 4 goals, conceded 1 goal at home = 2 goals, conceded 3 goals away = 3 goals.
  • Suppose for K2 - scored 1 goal at home = 1 goal, scored 0 goals away = 0 goals, conceded 4 goals at home = 8 goals, conceded 4 goals away = 4 goals.

Now, using a simple formula, we calculate the odds that will allow us to find out who is more likely to score a goal in the 1st half.

(Goals scored at home / Goals conceded away) + (Goals scored away / Goals conceded)

Coefficient for K1 = (1/4)+(4/8)=0.25+0.5= 0.75

Coefficient for K2 = (1/3) + (0/2) = 0.33

The lower the coefficient, the higher the probability that the team will score a goal in the 1st half. Match result: Team K2 scored 2 goals in the first half.

For this strategy to work hard, it is necessary that the coefficient be more than 0.6 , but if the coefficient turns out to be 1, then it is better not to bet on this match at all.

Selection by last dry draw

This type of selection is quite simple, for this you need statistics for the last 5 seasons, goals scored in 1.2 halves and goals scored in the match in different leagues in general, we will bring them into a single table and will use it to determine the percentage of entry. I'll provide data on three of them. I think you can do the rest of the work yourself.

  • Germany Bundesliga: Goals scored in 1st half: 67,4% 26,5% Goals scored in matches 93,9%
  • Germany 3rd league: Goals scored in 1st half: 57,9% Goals scored in the 2nd half: 32,4% Goals scored in matches 93,9%
  • Egypt Premier League: Goals scored in 1st half: 52,4% Goals scored in the 2nd half: 36,4% Goals scored in matches 88,8%
  1. We are looking for an event in which the last outcome was 0-0 (dry or eggs)
  2. We determine the country and league in which the teams play. We analyze with the help of the table whether it is suitable.
  3. If the event is suitable, then we bet the usual TB0.5 in the first half, if a goal was scored in the first half, we bet that they will score in the second half in order to return the money spent and also win.
  4. Goal in the second half! Bingo.

I advise Austrian Bundesliga, English Premier League, English Premier League (Junior 21), German Bundesliga, Hungarian Premier League, Belgian Premier League, Scandinavian League countries (Norway, Sweden, Finland), Dutch Premier League, Czech Premier League.

I do not advise: Argentina, Egypt, all Cup matches, friendlies, especially international ones, because the result is too unpredictable.

Choice by house favorite

There is an option to select matches and teams for betting on Goal in the first half by looking for a favorite to score who plays at home. Specifically, you need clogging favorite team with odds no more than 1.7 and for this team to play Houses, only with the observance of these conditions, one can hope for a positive outcome of the bets.

To win, you need to bet at the end of the first half of the first half. The coefficient usually rises to 2. If the favorite team attacks a lot and often creates scoring chances, then you should bet. However, if the game is inactive and there are few scoring chances, then you need to make the opposite bet in order to win back the bet or even be in the black a little, i.e. create a surebet type for bet insurance.

First Half Goal Insurance

As described above, in the middle of the first half, if the account is not opened and there are no prerequisites, then you can use Live to make the opposite bet to insure the original one. Or you can bet on a goal in the second half.

bet365 1st and 2nd half goal betting scheme

There is a certain scheme tailored for the bet365 bookmaker (but it is also suitable for other bookmakers). I covered it separately in the blog: bet365 betting scheme for goals in the first and second half.

Conclusion

The strategy is quite interesting and attractive, but as old as the world. In general, if you have statistics and are well versed in teams, it can give a good profit. I think this is a worthy strategy, especially in conjunction with financial strategies



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