Decided to make money betting on football? Spontaneous decisions do not bring success in the long run. To reduce the risk of losing, analyze football matches before placing bets on them. What moments matter the most?
Consider the principle of analyzing football matches on the example of the recent game Newcastle United - Manchester City. In this case, we have a classic confrontation between the clear favorite of the tournament and an unmotivated outsider.
Why unmotivated? Newcastle is not in the relegation zone, but it certainly will not be able to claim a leading position either. Manchester is not interested in this match in principle, but more on that below.
Team rating
Needless to say, based on the numbers, Newcastle cannot be perceived as a rival for Manchester at all.
When analyzing any upcoming match, consider the rankings of both teams. Evaluate how objectively the bookmaker gave the odds, whether he cheated somewhere, overestimating or underestimating them to his advantage.
Do not forget that a high rating does not always mean an unconditional victory, but for analysis it is very convenient to use this criterion as a starting point. However, if you are focusing not on championship games, but, say, on cup games, you need a different approach, because here the goals and motivations are completely different.
Individual players
6 players from Manchester are on the list of top scorers in the Premier League this season, Newcastle does not have such a stellar squad.
Take an interest in the strengths and weaknesses of the teams. Here, first of all, information about injured football players or emotional depression of the team matters. The latter often happens when a coach changes, some kind of conflict between players, non-payment of fees to athletes.
Find out about the form and confidence of the key players, they may have given pre-match interviews. Get information from magazines, TV and the Internet.
To get the most accurate information about the composition of the teams, wait for the official application from the coaches. Also listen to this information in the broadcast immediately before the match.
Game Schedule
Based on the density of Manchester's schedule, it is immediately clear that they will not waste their energy on fighting Newcastle. What's the point of using every opportunity when more difficult matches are on the horizon. But it is also logical that Manchester does not need a defeat from a team of this level, respectively, in such cases, a draw or a maximum of one goal is usually predicted, but it all depends on the tasks of each team.
An important element of the analysis is the schedule of upcoming matches. A team that has just played or is about to play in a major competition like the Champions League can put top players on vacation. If Liverpool entered the field without Salah, Mane and Firmino, and you did not know about it and bet on victory, the risks are high that the match will end not in your favor.
You also need to know what it is: a derby, a match against a direct competitor or a historical rival. Depending on this, the team may not play at full strength to save them for next week's meeting.
History is also important, it sets the "tone" even before the start of the match. For example, a team that has never lost to another, or last lost 20 years ago, will be more confident and driven to win.
Previous matches
Newcastle are already losing their 5th match at home, MS, on the contrary, shows excellent statistics in the Premier League and has a defeat only in the Champions League, and this, as you know, is a completely different kitchen.
A team that has won 5 victories in a row is much more motivated and "prone" to win. Refer to the statistics and view past meetings. Analyze the performance of the selected team in past games.
It is important to look at the conditions in which previous matches were played, if these are mostly friendly meetings, it is too early to draw a positive conclusion about success in the upcoming match.
Individual statistics
Newcastle recently can show performance only on goals conceded. It is certainly not necessary to count on goals from their side. Manchester City is leading in this parameter.
First of all you should look at the scoring statistics for both teams. If one has good stats at home and the other doesn't "feel" well away, it's obviously worth betting on the home team, even if it's slightly lower ranked. This parameter often justifies trust and is used by experienced players as a "base" for analysis.
The second point: the number of goals scored and the number of goals conceded during the season. This gives an idea of the ability of teams to attack and defend.
Another nuance: when the teams play at the very end of the season. In this case, you need to analyze the problems and tasks of each team. For example, one will be able to claim the “podium” if it achieves good results in recent days, while the other needs to hold on to stay in the league.
These are just some of the points to consider when betting on football. Today we reviewed the analysis of the event on the example of a match between a favorite and an outsider, and there can be a million different football variations. Therefore, we once again remind you of the importance of gaming strategies in sports betting, especially for beginners.
Do sports betting without preliminary analysis And forecasting the outcome, perhaps the strangest decision of bookmaker players. In order to get a positive result over a long distance, you must predict the outcome of the meeting, and only then make a decision to bet on it or not. In this article, we will share practical tips, tell you how to properly analyze information and make predictions for matches, as well as give a clear algorithm of actions.
Predicting sports matches is not an easy task. The forecasting itself is a continuous analytics. In addition to the fact that you will need to process a huge flow of information, you also need to be able to sort it by importance, as well as "sort it into pieces". This is comparable to a large library. A huge number of books have been brought to you, you must sort by genre, author, significance (after all, uninteresting works can be removed away), or by some other features and parameters, put everything on the shelves, and when you are asked to give out a book, in a few seconds you have to figure out where it is. It is the same with forecasting, first you read and receive information, and then at any moment you will have to pull it out of your head and apply it correctly. Such information can be statistics, injuries, statements by coaches and players, team goals for the season and for a particular match, motivation, and many others.
Before you start, it is worth recalling that the primary and one of the most important tasks of a player is the right choice of a bookmaker. Bet only in the best bookmakers! You can read about how to find a decent bookmaker. Well, we advise you to pay attention to three offices from our rating: BC "WINLINE", BC "MELBET" and BC "1XBET". These are high-quality and reliable betting operators that do not create problems for players, and this is the most important thing. Plus, in these bookmakers you will find a lot of events for betting, a wide range and excellent odds.
Selecting a sport and league to predict
First of all, you should choose a sport that you are well versed in. If you love football and hockey, you know the players, teams, the various subtleties of these sports (and if you don’t know anything, then it’s not clear why you bet at all), then it makes no sense to climb, for example, tennis or basketball. Of course, it is best to specialize in one sport, but predicting two is, in principle, uncritical. In addition, you need to weed out those leagues and championships that you do not know. For example, if you predict football matches, then you need to choose the top leagues (the Premier League, Bundesliga, Premier League, Primera, etc.), and not climb into the third division of Zimbabwe or the fourth league of Germany. Predicting hockey matches - choose the KHL and NHL, predicting basketball - choose the NBA, etc. Most importantly - do not jump from one sport to another, and do not break into several championships. If you are experiencing difficulties and feel that, frankly, do not pull on several sports, championships, leagues, then it is better to reduce their number.
Forecasting includes four phases:
- Collection of all kinds of information;
- Processing and sorting information;
- Analysis and preparation of a preliminary forecast;
- Predicting the outcome of a match
Collection of information about the match
Statistics
At the first stage, you need to collect all the information about the match you need to make a prediction. First of all, study the statistics. Do not forget to divide all indicators into away, home and general.
The most important indicators:
- last meetings of the teams;
- last face-to-face meetings of rivals;
- tournament position;
- average value of goals scored per match;
- average value of goals conceded per match;
- average of goals scored in the last five matches;
- average of goals conceded over the last five matches.
Thanks to the statistics of the last meetings, you can determine the current form of the team (players), scored / missed - from the same opera, only you can find out more about the performance at any segments of the season. Based on the history of face-to-face confrontations, a number of indicators can be determined, for example, the effectiveness of teams in a game with each other, how often opponents hit each other's goal, etc. According to the team's standings, you can determine the general indicator of the game form (for a certain number of matches or for the season as a whole), as well as learn about the motivation and tasks of the team for the next game.
Lineups
Usually the lineups become known an hour and a half before the start of the match, but according to information about injuries, you can have a rough idea of the lineups for the upcoming match. You can also compare lineups, say, for the last three matches of the team.
Series
Highlight different streaks: wins in a row, losses in a row, goals scored in a row, goals conceded in a row, shutouts and meetings on "both to score". These are the most important indicators in forecasting.
News
Read the press, special attention should be paid to interesting facts, rather than the statements of players and coaches. An example of an interesting fact: “Lokomotiv” visiting “CSKA” cannot win in ten matches in a row. Here, an interesting fact is immediately evident, and statistics, and a series, in this case without victories. Such information always needs to be noticed, processed and applied.
Motivation
One of the most important factors is motivation. You must accurately find any motivational components. For example, the last round of the Champions League group stage is underway. Real Madrid are third in the group, two points behind Borussia Mönchengladbach, who are in second. The next match at the “Real” just with the “Borussia”, and at the “Santiago Bernabeu”. Obviously, the "Royal Club" sets itself the task of reaching the playoffs of the Champions League, and not getting into the Europa League, so the team will enter the match, which will also be home, with special emotions.
Rematches
The thirst for revenge is another of the most important factors that can directly affect the result of the match (in the case of approximately equal opponents). It is not uncommon for a team to rehabilitate itself in front of their fans after a major home defeat. Lost advantage and defeat in the last seconds, defeat in overtime, on shootouts, defeat due to a goal that was not counted according to the rules, defeat in the derby - all these situations give rise to a desire to take revenge on the opponent.
Derby
Separately, it is necessary to touch on the derby teams. Derby is a competition between teams from the same city or region. Opponents usually go to such matches over motivated, because the victory in the derby is doubly sweet, in addition, it very often promises good bonuses.
Information processing and sorting
When you have received a sufficient amount of information about the match, you need to immediately discard everything superfluous, and superfluous is something that will in no way affect the outcome of the match (garbage). Next, you need to structure the information, separating important factors from secondary ones. All factors are divided into direct, indirect and abstract.
Direct factors
direct factor- this is a factor that can directly affect the outcome of the meeting. For example, an injury to the leading player of Team 1.
Indirect factors
Indirect factor- this is a factor that can only indirectly affect the outcome of the meeting. For example, the appointment of a referee for a match, who does not skimp on red cards. Because of this, there is a high probability of sending off a Team 1 player in the match, as a result of which Team 1 can concede, fail to score (in case of early removal), lose. The current weather, intra-team intrigues, disagreements, etc. are all indirect factors.
abstract factors
abstract factors- These are events during the match that cannot be foreseen in any way. For example, a player's injury during a match, worsening weather (rain, snow), fan noise, good luck and bad luck. Please note that it is the worsening weather, and not the current weather. The deterioration of the weather is an abstract factor, the current weather is indirect, but in combination with others it can also become direct. An example of failure: a player goes one on one with the goalkeeper, shoots and he falls into the post. An example of luck: a player shoots at the goal, a player appears in the path of the ball, and the ball after the rebound ends up in the net. Note that for one team the same hit on the post is bad luck, but for the other it will be good luck. Abstract factors should simply be neglected. Firstly, it is almost impossible to predict them, and secondly, in the case of successes and failures, we believe that there will be approximately an equal number of them in the match, and they compensate each other.
For us, the most important will be direct factors, and indirect ones only selectively. Why selectively? Yes, because an indirect factor in combination with other indirect factors and under certain conditions can become direct. If we take into account every little thing and calculate the probability of an event that was generated by another event, we will go crazy. You don't even have to go to the point of being idiotic.
How to make a preliminary prediction for a match?
Further, we work only with direct factors (statistics, injuries, etc.). We collect everything that happened and analyze. At this stage, you must choose the event in the match (bet) that you think should happen. Forget about calculating the probability of passing a bet or calculating the probability of an event occurring! In this case, you are interested in the following: will this event happen or not happen, 1 or 0, false or true. Naturally, the bet should be supported by something, and not taken at random. This is where you need to use that "principle of the library", pull out small pieces and start assembling the puzzle. You should be able not only to make a forecast, but also to explain your choice in favor of this rate.
How to Calculate Team Strength Rating
When making a preliminary forecast, you can use a very good system for calculating the strength rating of teams proposed by J. Miller. Ideally, it was written for American football games, but we tweaked it for football, hockey, and basketball. However, this system works better in high performance sports (volleyball, basketball, handball, American football, etc.).
First of all, you need to remember two main rules:
- Use this system only after 5-6 championship rounds have been played;
- Do not use the results of friendly and pre-season matches.
You take the last 5 meetings of the team and write down the goals scored, pucks, etc. Cross out the highest and lowest performance in terms of goals scored. Then add up the remaining three numbers and divide by three. In order to calculate the defense rating, do the same: cross out the highest and lowest value of goals conceded, then add and divide by three what is left.
Example
Detroit Red Wings vs. Pittsburgh Penguins of the National Hockey League.
Detroit's last five meetings:
Detroit 1-2 Anaheim
Detroit 3-4 Vancouver
Detroit 5-1 San Jose
Detroit 3-1 Florida
Detroit 3-2 Edmonton
Pittsburgh's last five meetings:
Pittsburgh 1-3 Buffalo
Pittsburgh 3-2 Arizona
Pittsburgh 6-1 Toronto
Pittsburgh 2-3 Montreal
Pittsburgh 3-1 New Jersey
Goals scored by Detroit: 1, 3, 5, 3, 3.
Missed washers "Detroit": 2, 4, 1, 1, 2.
Goals scored by Pittsburgh: 1, 3, 6, 2, 3.
Missed pucks "Pittsburgh": 3, 2, 1, 3, 1.
We cross out 1 and 5 goals (the smallest and the largest performance indicator), and add the remaining three indicators: 3+3+3=9. Now we divide this value by three: 9 \ 3 \u003d 3.
We cross out 1 and 4 goals (the smallest and the largest indicator of goals conceded), and add the remaining three indicators: 1 + 2 + 2 = 5. Now we divide this value by three: 5 \ 3 \u003d 1.66.
We cross out 1 and 6 goals (the smallest and the largest performance indicator), and add the remaining three indicators: 3+2+3=8. Now we divide this value by three: 8 \ 3 \u003d 2.66.
We cross out 1 and 3 goals (the smallest and the largest indicator of goals conceded), and add the remaining three indicators: 3+2+1=6. Now we divide this value by three: 6 \ 3 \u003d 2.
How to make a prediction for the exact score of the match?
The strength rating can be used to determine the preliminary score of the meeting between the two teams. Let's try to estimate how many points Detroit can score, and which Pittsburgh. To do this, add Detroit's attack rating to Pittsburgh's defense rating, and then subtract 3 (the average of team points in the NHL).
Average total for leagues and sports:
- NHL = 3
- KHL = 2
- NFL = 20
- NBA = 100
- Football = 1
Calculation:
"Detroit": 3+2-3 = 2
"Pittsburgh": 2.66+1.66-3 = 1.32
For home teams, you should almost always round up the value, or add 0.5 or 1, but you need to look at the average number of goals conceded by the opponent in away matches. If the away team concedes quite a lot, feel free to round up. You can also calculate the average value of goals scored / conceded for the season, or for a segment of at least 10 matches. In our example, we will round both values up. Let's say that Detroit has a 2.66/2.53 goals/conceits record at home, and Pittsburgh has 2.71/2.55 goals away. “Pittsburgh” misses more than 2.5 washers on the road per game, so we increase the value of the goals scored by “Detroit”. Likewise, Detroit concedes more than 2.5 at home, while Pittsburgh has a high conversion rate on the road - 2.71 on average per game.
Thus, we calculated that the match "Detroit" - "Pittsburgh" can end with a score 2-2 or 3-2 (Boundary value). But now you need to start from additional information and indirect factors, which may affect the outcome of the meeting.
How to make a final match prediction?
First we have to check again. See if you have correctly interpreted the information you received, did you correctly separate direct and indirect factors if you missed anything important. Are you right calculated the strength rating of the teams. Further check if there is new information, and if it appeared, then you need to take it into account when making a forecast. Now analyze whether a combination of indirect factors will affect the successful passage of the bet. For example, if there are a lot of them, see if they have something in common. Wouldn't it be possible that one indirect factor together with another will give rise to a direct one? In any case, all this must be taken into account, but do not confuse yourself. Just analyze, ask yourself questions and answer them. You are just thinking, and confusion will not lead to anything good. You will end up simply entangled in your own thoughts and doubts.
This is how predictions for matches work. Remember that each match and each case is unique, so your situation may differ from those given. The most important thing, as already mentioned, is to collect information, discard the excess, analyze it and make a forecast, and then check yourself. Your main tool is statistics and news. Think and analyze, but don't get carried away. You need to analyze deeply, but quickly, otherwise you will drown in your own thoughts. Good luck forecasting!
Hi all! Today I decided to put together programs and tables that can be useful for sports betting. Some of them allow you to evaluate a bet in a bookmaker's office much better than if you did it manually, although you also have to do a lot manually :) Why scratch your tongue, let's get down to the most important thing - laying out links.
Bet-Plus 2019 (updated)
Programs in the form of an excel file with loading information from different sites to collect statistics. The program gives out predictions for football matches quite accurately, focusing on various indicators, including the results of recent matches. The archive contains the regular version of Bet-Plus 2019 and the updated one, as well as the instruction file.
Tote Master V1.4.10
The program allows you to generate a code for making a batch bet. The program is intuitive, with the help of it you can place bets with a brief system. brief system makes it possible to create such a package for the totalizator matches, in which if all the selections play, then at least one coupon will fall into the prize category that you have chosen.
Totoscore V1.0.2.0
Exactly the same program as Totalizator master, only more advanced, there are several additional ones. generation modes.
Totallo V2.2
A program that determines the totals of football matches. Essentially very simple.
Program ZX16 V2
With this software, you can predict the outcome of matches using statistics.
Accurate Score Program
The correct score program allows you to make an analysis based on the sums of goals scored in 7 matches.
FootBet V1 and V2 and V3
Using this program, you can estimate the probability of winning a team, based on: the class of the team, your own or someone else's stadium, the results of the last 5 matches, the place in the standings, the number of absent players in the main team, the difference in days from the last game, etc.
BetManager V1.2
The usual Excel form in the form of a separate program for keeping track of your bets made, allows you to analyze and calculate your success in betting.
Kelly criterion
BigBetCalculator V1.01
The program is a set of calculators for sports betting - 17 pieces.
Bookmaker Calculator
Analyzer for betting on football, taking into account the odds in bookmakers.
FutAnaliz
FutAnaliz is a football match analysis software. It is an Excel file.
BriefGenerator
Igor-san program for generating package rates (brief system) for sweepstakes Fonbet, Marathon, Betcity, Baltbet, etc. + a set of text combinations.
GolPlyus v10.1
GolPlyus is a fairly popular match analyzer, everything is done through an excel file with calculation formulas.
Golplyus Turbo 5
Golplyus Turbo is one of the GolPlyus series of programs that can analyze football and hockey matches.
Golplyustotal Pro
Golplyustotal Pro is an analyzer of football matches by goals scored.
GolPlyus NTFT
GolPlyus NTFT is a multi-team football analyzer with improved accuracy.
Gol Plus Basketball
GolPlus Basketball is an Excel file-based program that analyzes basketball games.
AutoGol
AutoGol is a program in the form of an excel file used to calculate match totals and individual totals. In addition, the original algorithms of the participants of the betting forums are used. Plus, the archive for him is a bunch of fucking matches.
Now Goal Auto
NowGoal Auto is a Turkish sports betting program, to be more precise, to help with this, it has statistics and prediction.
Undower 0.3 (april2019) 1.0.0
Undower - parser table of the site Nowgoal.vip, which gives results on Total(1.5) + Total(2.5) + Total(3.5) for the first half and the whole match. The best pass TB (1.5) and TM (3.5) at the level of 85%.
Plonkbata 0.5
Plonkbata is an Italian table translated and adapted for Russians, similar to Plonk. Predicts at least one goal scored in the first or second match, or in the match. Permeability is said to be at the level of 80-90%. Naturally, the odds for such probabilities are small and it is desirable to cheat on express bets.
Overunders preadsheet for Nowgoal (mod_april2019) 1.0.0
Overunders is a mod for the site Nowgoal.vip that makes predictions for the total match based on the Poisson distribution.
Odds database for Bet365 and Pinnacle
Here is just the history of odds from these two offices. Can be useful for predicting matches.
InfinityBook
InfinityBook is an updated parser that, like a bot, crawls through soccerstand, flashscore and myscore sites, collecting information on the latest matches of teams, the standings, the form table of the last 5,10,15 matches, odds 1-X-2, TB/TM2.5 both will score. The parser is compatible with the 21st forecasting program. Excel file contains forecast algorithms MyBet_MySkore, Wanga-Bet v1, Altadar, Syndicate Tables, New Total Bomb 2016 and Tyresyas.
STD Picks
STD Picks is a betting excel file, but it takes some digging to make it work.
Poisson
Poisson is a program that shows probability based on Poisson distribution, team shape and other variables. There is export to Excel spreadsheet, tournament table and more.
Bet Plus 2019 and Bet Plus 1.1
Bet-Plus is a program for calculating the outcome of football matches, based on an excel spreadsheet.
Minifnrtina 1.1.0
Minifnrtina is a Turkish program that shows excellent results in forecasts.
Willscore
Willscore is a program that calculates the forecast for Total Over (1.5).
LBFootball 1.41b
LBFootball is a program to calculate Total Over(2.5) and Both Teams To Score.
New Total Bomb fixedGG 4.0.0
New Total Bomb is a Poisson Distribution prediction file, purely theoretical, based on statistics from the nowgoal.id website.
xG-bedel-xG 1.0.0
xG-bedel-xG is the Expected Goals xG calculation model file.
Bet-profi 7.0
Bet-profi is an excel spreadsheet program for predicting total, total over, total under matches in football.
Incognito Crush Points v1
Incognito Crush Points is an Excel spreadsheet that comprehensively builds predictions for football bets.
Pronostikator 2.0.0
Pronostikator - we have an adaptation of the Italian Plonk 3 table for Russians. An honest tank test has been introduced to check the algorithm on past matches.
ElizaBET PRO 11
ElizaBET PRO is a program that gives probabilities for the outcome of a match based on 15 algorithms. Doesn't predict. Good tool.
FootbalData Rate AutoCalculator 2.0.0
FootbalData Rate AutoCalculator is an automated program that calculates the form of teams and generates predictions for the outcome of matches. The parser is taken from AutoGol.
Landi Bet and Landi Bet 2
Landi Bet is an analyzer based on matches already played. We drive in the results of already played meetings, we get a forecast.
Landi Bet My Score
Landi Bet My Score is a program for analyzing football matches. According to the results of the match, it predicts how many goals will be scored, who will score first, which total to bet, shows you the statistics of the teams.
Landi Bet Tennis
Landi Bet Tennis - analyzer of tennis matches based on the last matches played.
Landi Bet Football v 2
Landi Bet Football - football analyzer based on the results of the last 10 matches played.
Opredelitel 8.2
Opredelitel 8.2 is a fairly old program that can automatically analyze different sports: football, volleyball, handball, tennis, hockey.
ProAnaliz Football
ProAnaliz Football is a football analyzer similar to Landi Bet.
ProAnalyz Tennis
ProAnaliz Tennis is an analyzer of tennis matches made on the basis of Excel files.
ProAnalyz Hockey
ProAnaliz Hockey is a program for analyzing hockey matches based on Excel files.
Sport Concrete V 2
Sport Beton is a football analyzer based on the last 5 matches that gives recommendations on Total Over 2.5 or Total Under 2.5 bets (TO2.5 or Under2.5).
Total Prophet (Total Prophet)
Total Prophet (Total Prorok) - Also called the Miracle Program. Alexey Voloshin's program analyzes hockey matches.
ASIANBET
ASIANBET is an analyzer of football matches, it mainly shows total, goal in 1st half and outcome.
Basket
Basket is a basketball match analyzer based on Excel files.
Basketball Live
Basketball Live is also an analyzer of basketball matches, using an excel spreadsheet, but for matches in Live mode.
Opredelitel V 13.0 BET ASSISTANT
Opredelitel v13.0 BET ASSISTANT - assistant and analyzer for football betting.
BETGARANT
BETGARANT is a program that helps to analyze football matches using special formulas, built on the basis of Excel files.
FootForecast V 08.16
FootForecast is a football matches analyzer based on team fitness.
ForeCaster 24score V 12.16
ForeCaster is a program for analyzing football matches. Can predict the number of goals scored by opponents in the 1st and 2nd half, predictions for: W1/X/W2/Total/Handicap/Individual totals/1X/12/X2, etc.
BigBetCalculator V 1.01
BigBetCalculator is a program that contains 17 popular bet calculators.
Fuckbook
Fuckbuk is an excel-based football match analyzer with its own unique analysis formulas.
YMA Accurate Score Calculator
The program for calculating the exact score from YMA is an excel file with formulas that calculates an approximate exact score according to the theory of probability.
Profibet Tennis V 2.1
Profibet Tennis is a program for automatic analysis of a tennis match, without searching for statistics. You just choose your opponents and look at the layout. Instructions in the archive.
Project Rating (Football + PRO System)
Project Rating is a program for analyzing the attack and defense strength of teams, the exact score and, accordingly, the total, the probability of a possible victory according to Bayes theory, the size of the bet according to the Kelly criterion and what outcome to bet on.
SportStatic
SportStatic is a database program with statistics for football, hockey, and basketball teams. The database contains information on 142077 matches.
Football championships
Football Championships is a football match statistics program, perhaps one of the best programs to date.
Total Prognoz V1.2
Total Prognoz is a program for predicting the exact score in a football match. The program is based on an Excel file. The archive contains a video instruction from the author.
Teoria_tryokh_matchey_2_0.zip
Analysis of basketball matches
Analysis of basketball matches - the definition of the total for basketball.
Match analysis (football and hockey)
Match analysis (football and hockey) - perhaps the name speaks :)
NBA match analysis
NBA Match Analysis is a program for predicting the exact score in NBA matches.
Football Analysis V2
Football analysis - total forecast based on excel files.
Hockey analysis
Hockey analysis - determining the exact score of a hockey match based on an excel file.
Pro Teniss Analysis
Pro Teniss Analysis is an interesting analyzer of tennis matches on an excel file.
NextGame
NextGame is a program for analyzing football matches.
Search Forks 3.5
Search Forks 3.5 is a free fork search program.
predictz
Predictz is a football prediction software.
Robo Win
Robo Win- analyzer of bets on football, using a variety of parameters, including motivation, etc.
Novice bookmaker users make mistakes all the time. No matter how thoughtful the strategy is, you always need to look at the statistics, follow the news and check different data.
There is a category of bettors who treat bets like a game of chance, they rely only on chance, this is not correct.
How to analyze football for betting? Until you learn how to build forecasts based on important data, you will not be able to increase your bank.
In addition to the fact that many do not check anything, there are those who attach great importance to unimportant factors, and vice versa, ignore the most important.
5 Important Points When Analyzing Football
It’s good if you have already found many different sites for yourself that help you make predictions. We have already talked about, useful information appears on the network all the time, it needs to be used.
But even without your opinion, nothing will come of it, and so that you can correctly analyze the matches, remember the most important points:
- The first step is to look at the overall standings, it is presented on many sites. Depending on the chosen strategy and other points, you need to evaluate different data.
- Next, you need to determine the leaders of the tournament (clear favorites). An ideal situation for a bet is given to a better if one of the leaders has lost several games in a row. This may be due to various reasons, starting with injuries of some players, ending with a seasonal decline. The leaders do not stay in the outsiders for a long time, so they must win in subsequent games. The main thing is to determine the real reasons for the defeats, perhaps in this tournament the favorite will remain at the bottom of the table.
- In football tournaments, it often happens that a team loses by a wide margin. It's one thing if it's an outsider, a weak team. Another thing is if this is a leader or at least an average one. For them, this is a shame, so they will definitely want to win back, the team's motivation will be at its best. If you see how a strong team won with a rout, and even it played on a foreign field, and the next game will be at home, feel free to bet on it.
- Further information about the upcoming event is analyzed. Everything must be taken into account, starting with the location of the players on the field, ending with the running conditions and the uniform of each team member. Remember that players play better on their field, after several defeats, a strong squad will try to pull up the number of points. It also often happens that when teams meet, occupying subsequent places in the standings, the one that was lower makes every effort to get around the competitor.
- Before you open a bet, be sure to check the odds and read the opinions of professionals on various forums. Forecasts based solely on dry statistics often fail, so you just need to apply analysis and be mindful of patterns. Some of them have turned into betting rules.
Do not try to analyze football in general, choose a specific tournament and make predictions on it. Teams can play differently in different championships and this must be taken into account.
Football is the favorite game of many millions of people. In each bookmaker you can see the richest line of football bets with interesting odds and outcomes: this is one of the main sources of income for bookmakers.
Predicting a football match is quite difficult. Football is one of the few sports where a team can have a playing advantage during the entire match, and eventually lose. A scored goal, a penalty that they could not score, and an erroneously raised flag of the referee, and the mistakes of the athletes themselves have their role.
Today we will give some tips that will fully answer the question, how to analyze football matches and not lose.
Choose championships.
Most beginners bet on all the championships that they see in the betting line. In the short run, this can be profitable, especially if the difference between the teams is obvious. In the long run, this will lead to regular losses and the loss of the pot.
A player can thoroughly study several championships and place bets on them, or casually get acquainted with three dozen and focus only on odds. In the first case, the player acquires a certain reputation, receives a stable income, can consult and exchange opinions with specialists in other tournaments. In the second case, he also acquires a certain reputation and monthly leaves a solid part of his salary in the bookmaker's office.
Explore Championships
After you have chosen several championships, study their features, advantages and disadvantages. Find out how they live. Ideally, look at tournament data for the last five years. This will allow not only to assess the level and nature of the championship, but also to get some information about the participants, to feel the style of each team, to see the potential.
Some teams have personal scores for each other, others are neutral. The championship can be international or national. In the second case, it is useful to familiarize yourself with the features of the chosen country.
Let's take the Turkish Championship as an example. The Black Sea teams - Rizespor, Samsunspor, Sebatspor - do not have personal accounts for each other and play without much strain. If you look at the Istanbul teams, then you can immediately stumble upon a century-old confrontation between Galatasaray and Fenerbahce, going on all fronts at once. And it doesn't matter who is to blame for this feud, and whether there was a culprit at all - the fact is that every match between the teams can lead to a clash of fans and a stabbing.
Conduct pre-game analysis
Having decided on the championship, it is necessary to conduct a pre-game analysis of football matches. It includes searching, studying and analyzing information. For example:
- Research and analysis of pre-match reviews from reputable independent sources. The sources can be both professional sports analysts and former players or coaches, referees and commentators.
- Studying information about injuries, substitutions, disqualifications. Along with this, it is worth analyzing how important the injured or disqualified athlete is to the team and whether he has a replacement from the reserve.
- Analysis of the significance of the championship. In some unimportant championships, elite teams do not give all the best or put up a second or third squad.
Statistics analysis
Analysis of football matches for betting includes analysis of statistics. In this case, the composition, mood, injuries and other indicators do not matter. Exclusively numbers, patterns, statistical indicators.
Statistical football match analysis may include the following:
- Team form. To evaluate it, you can look at how and with whom the selected team played the last ten matches. This is enough to conclude whether the players are on the rise or in the middle of a losing streak.
- History of personal meetings between teams. Moreover, the meetings that took place 20-50 years ago are of secondary importance. It is important what is happening now and what has happened over the past two or three years.
- Trend analysis. Studying meetings 20-30 years ago makes sense if we have, for example, a series of five victories or five lost matches in which the team did not score a single goal. You can look at how similar meetings ended in the past and assess the possibility of repeating a similar situation in the future.
Using our advice and following your own gaming strategy, you will be able to receive a constant and stable income from football betting. Remember - even if you are one hundred percent sure that the chosen team will win, there is always a place for sensations in sports.
