So, in the previous article we looked at “How to make money on bets at bookmakers”, today we’ll talk about game tactics so as not to go into the red with bookmakers. The conversation will be about the type of bet on parlays, with small odds. To make this type of bet, you need to understand what express bets are.
Express- This is a type of bet on several outcomes of different events. By choosing small odds, you can significantly increase the final odds, which will definitely pass, because the probability of passing small bets is very high. Remember: all the low odds you choose are multiplied together, giving us a decent odd at the end. The sport can be different, the bets are also different, let it be TM or TB, for a win, for the number of, for example, cards or corners. Less words, everything is shown in the photo below, an example of express.
The advantage of express bets is to increase the odds due to passing matches. Consider how I played and won decent money by analyzing such games. I played on the fact that there is a low probability of the outcome of a match in football with a zero score and decided to play on it. Nobody limits you in choosing other types of bets, where you understand more. When placing bets on various outcomes of games, always analyze and check the lineups of teams, the availability of cards, etc. This method will greatly increase your chances of luck, do not point your finger at the sky without analyzing past games and looking at the team line-up! Earn money betting at bookmakers you can, you just need a little patience, the ability to think and calculate the outcome of the match.
If you want to further increase your chances of winning, then I recommend that you combine express + catch-up, your chances of winning will increase several times. ABOUT
Everything that is written below applies only to bets on football, unless another sport is indicated.
I would like to try out a strategy that just recently came to mind. In short: football, total over 0.5 (odds 1.05 - 1.07), express of 3, maximum 5 events, bet from 50,000 rubles. Yes, it looks risky, you can lose a lot of money at once, and the potential gain is much less than the amount invested. But maybe there is still common sense in this strategy?
And now in order.
A little bit about yourself
I always wanted to bet less and win more. I am not an expert in sports (I can’t make out a football match according to tactical and technical actions a la Bubnov). I don't consider myself an experienced bettor either. - I mainly place bets during major events: World Cup, European Football Championship, etc. I used to bet on wins, non-losses, totals 2.5 over/under, odds. I never bet on statistics (corners, cards) - not mine. I use only express, I do not install systems. Actively put on the last European Championship 2016. I made about 15 bets, every 3rd one was winning, but only 3000 rubles in profit. for the whole championship! This is very little!Why I'm looking for a new strategy
Tired of betting on the results of matches (winning, not losing). The sport is too unpredictable. Favorites often draw or lose to not the strongest teams, and in a dispute between 2 approximately equal teams, the outcome is very difficult to predict. I started trying to bet on totals, betting on under 3.5 or even under 4.5. But, it happens that contrary to all forecasts, teams can break through, and they will chop a bunch of heads at each other.Total over 0.5 and an attempt to justify the strategy
Yes, there is such a rate, although I did not notice it before. The coefficient is very small, depending on the class of teams: maybe 1.05, maybe 1.1. coming from the simplest, banal logic: the goal of each team is to score a goal against the opponent, which they try to do within 90 minutes. As a rule, this is obtained by either one or both teams. The result 0-0 occurs, but very, very rarely. This is the only danger to our strategy that we must try to avoid.I don't care who wins and how many scores and concedes at the same time. Let the favorites lose or draw. The main thing is that there should be at least one single goal per match. There is no need to be an expert and have a good understanding of the sport. Yes, and I have already seen a lot of forecasts from experts. Like them, all of us, ordinary bettors, try to think logically before the match: we analyze the state of the teams, their latest results, we look at whether this is a home match for the team we bet on or away, we evaluate the motivation of the teams... And how much misses happen: anything can happen on the field that we could not predict before the match, using our logic: for example, 2 red cards for Roma in the match against Porto on 08/23/16 and goodbye, favorite. And there are many such examples.
Big bet - small odds. Event Selection
Because Odds on total over 0.5 tend to zero (or rather to one), then in order to win something, you need to risk a larger, much larger amount than most of us are used to. The list of events is also limited: if Barcelona or Manchester City is playing, then there is no such bet at all, and the line starts with a total of 1.5. If there are very chronic middles with a weak attack, then the danger of a 0-0 result increases (together with a coefficient that can reach 1.1.). And if, say, Arsenal, or any other team "with a name" plays with some middle peasant, then the coefficient on the total is higher, 0.5 will be 1.05 - 1.06.If we put an express of 3 events with odds. 1.05, then at a bet of 50,000, the winnings will be 50,000 x 1.1576 = 57880. You need to win 6.3 bets to only double the amount of the original bet, i.e. win + 50 000 rub.
You can make an accumulator of 5 events, or choose events where the odds for the total are higher than 0.5, for example, 1.07-1.09. But the risk also increases accordingly.
Finally
The quieter you go, the further you'll get. Greed and the desire for quick profit are the best qualities that bookmakers would like to see in their clients. I think that for such a strategy you need to have a bank somewhere in the 200,000 - 500,000 rubles. and nerves of steel. I expect that with accumulators of 3 events (with their careful selection), winnings will happen often, very often, which will block possible losses. You can bet 2 times a week: choose events from each game day of the main European championships.Whether this strategy is good or bad, only time will tell. But I understood one thing for sure: if you really want to win something, then you need a lot of patience and ... a lot of money. With one thousand rubles for this purpose, there is nothing to do in the BC. And with two too. To win big (in the long run, a little bit each time), you need to risk a much larger amount.
As I said at the beginning, I am not an experienced player so don't judge too harshly. I just wanted to think about this strategy.
Many bettors of bookmakers start their gambling path in sports betting with low and sometimes very low odds. At the initial stage, a thought, kef, appears in the head. 1.2, this is 20% per annum and all you have to do is guess just one event, betting on a clear favorite. However, later it turns out that even clear favorites can lose. An example is the match Barcelona - Rubin (Kazan), seemingly invincible, at that time the team of Josep Guardiola managed to lose at home, with a crowded stadium 1-2. What can we even talk about if odds 1.02 - 1.0.6 often do not play in tennis
You can talk about the topic of luck or bad luck in sports betting for a long time, however, if a player bet on a coefficient of 1.03 and the bet did not go through, he should only blame himself for this. In such situations, you need to understand that the analysis was superficial, or it was not done at all.
Advantages of small odds or how to drain the bank?
1. Time. Many mistakenly believe that since the odds for the outcome of an event are small, then the probability of success for a player/team with a low odds is high and it is not worth spending time on analysis.
2. Express. Most of the players who bet on express games with small odds, without analysis at a distance, will in any case be in the red. Even if these express trains pass several times, after the first loss, you will begin to doubt the strategy of small odds, since it will be very difficult to win back.
Register and get a bonusWhat you need to know about betting on small odds?
1. Women's sport. If you are still young and do not want your head to sit for an hour or two, then by no means bet on low odds events in which girls / women perform.
2. Team name. Even if a team with a big name is playing, it can lose and even lose to an outsider. It is necessary to conduct a thorough analysis of what form the players are in, the atmosphere, what motivation the players have, etc.
3. Live. It is recommended to place bets on odds from 1.01 to 1.2 only in live or a couple of hours before the start of the meeting, as the team coach may underestimate the opponent and release the 2nd squad, or in general he may consider that this match does not solve anything for his team. And knowing that the 2nd squad is playing or the team leaders have not entered the field, you can safely bypass this event.
4. Cup match. In many Championships there are tournaments that are secondary for the clubs of the favorites. Therefore, usually, they release a 2nd roster for the game, which quite often leaks games to outsiders.
5. Beginning of the Championship. Do not bet, with low odds, on the favorites at the very beginning of the season. It is not always clear in what form the championship leader can approach the beginning of the season. For example, Spartak M. season 2017-2018 RFPL, the red and whites failed the start of the championship, thus the players who took bets on the victory of Spartak with small odds remained in a big loss.
Conclusion
Betting on small odds is a live strategy that is not popular enough, but it is able to provide confident earnings in bookmakers. To achieve success, you need not to rush things and follow certain rules. Let's look at ways to make successful predictions with small odds.
Choosing competitions for a low odds strategy
This strategy for small odds requires careful selection of sports matches, focusing on odds and statistics. It is recommended to choose fights with odds of approximately 1.1 - 1.4, except for those matches in which you are sure of the result.
Examples of fights with small odds. In the match Georgia - Wales, the forecast for 12 has a coefficient of 1.37, and 2X - 1.23.
In the duel between the teams of Italy and Macedonia, P1 has a coefficient of 1.09, and 12 has a coefficient of 1.056.
It is worth being careful when the favorite plays away games. Some clubs at home play well and can even beat the leaders.
An important role in this strategy is given to the statistics of the results of past competitions and matches. When suitable events are determined by betting line and odds, it is necessary to carefully study the results of face-to-face meetings and statistics. It is important to consider how a certain club plays in a particular season at home and away. Face-to-face meetings will give a detailed picture of the possible result if you use bets on low odds.
Determining the most likely outcome
When the analysis on the system of small coefficients is carried out, it is necessary to determine the most probable outcome to ensure the success of the forecast. Here you can study sports forecasts or use special services.
There are situations when it is quite difficult to predict the likely outcome. For example, when one team is at the top of the table, and the other is at the bottom, but last season the favorite lost on the road. A clear example is Leicester, who became the champion of England, and the following season they performed very unsuccessfully. Therefore, it is better to skip such events.
Types of bets with low odds
The strategy requires big bets, small odds. There are the following forecast options:
- Live bets. The low odds betting system for live requires special care. You need to predict in cases where you are sure that a certain club will win. The score should be noticeably outweighed to one side. Table tennis is not suitable for playing according to the system with small odds. Hockey is also bad, as clubs often bounce back in the last seconds.
- Capital Management. It is important to pay attention to the results here. It is worth raising the level of the game when the better manages to double the bankroll. If a player has lost 50% of the bank amount, then, in accordance with the strategy, it is necessary to choose odds up to 1.3, and bet half of the remaining bankroll. The time to level up will depend on the activity of the better.
conclusions
If you manage to achieve a stable increase of 10-11%, you can start withdrawing money from the bookmaker. The main thing is not to be nervous and act in accordance with the rules. You need to be patient and restrained in order to earn. The success of this system depends on the skill and endurance of the better.
I want to say right away that there is no “magic” win-win coefficient. What does the experience of playing betting shop suggest?
So let's imagine that we only play small odds, say 1.1 to 1.4. Of course, it is common knowledge that favorites win more often than they lose. But they still lose. The trend in popular sports, football, hockey, etc. is towards leveling the class, the results. In addition, in order to win well at low odds, you need to bet a significant amount as a percentage of the pot. Of course, in 6-7 cases out of 10 you will win, but 3 losses will reduce your profit to a minimum, or even block it.
What can you say about playing at high odds? Winnings, of course, will be much rarer, they will bring you great joy, so the amount of winnings will be significant against the amount wagered. But wines with pockets will alternate here much more often than in the first variant. A series of looses can be very long, and this is “deadly” for a player, since it is necessary to have very strong nerves to endure this, and even during a long period of looses, analyze betting lines for future bets.
Drawing a conclusion, we can say that these two methods are approximately equivalent, but judging by personal experience, the first option with low odds is more draining. At the dawn of my gambling activity in the betting shop, I often built such "locomotives", more often doubles, less often tees with low odds. In general, offhand, the ratio of wins was 40-45%, losses 55-60%. Therefore, I would still advise betting on average odds, namely from 1.55 to 1.9. This, in my opinion, is the most correct strategy in the selection of coefficients.
In this article, I will allow myself to draw an analogy with the market. When a person comes to the market for some kind of product, what criteria does he follow? First of all, the goods should be of high quality and inexpensive. What will he choose in most cases? He is unlikely to take a cheap product, since cheap - the lack of necessary functions in the product, low brand, and generally cheap - does not mean good. He will not take too expensive goods either, since in this case the buyer overpays for many heaped functions in the goods that are completely unnecessary to him. Therefore, he will choose the golden mean in terms of price-quality ratio. Now let's draw an analogy with a bookmaker's office, we also come to the betting market and buy odds, that is, we bet money. By betting on a low odds, we get even a small but risk, a small profit in case of a win and a big disappointment in case of a loss. By betting on a large odds, we buy an “expensive thing”, a lot of unnecessary (risky) functions for it. In case of a win, we get a lot, a lot, in case of a loss, the same disappointment as in the first case. Therefore, it would be most logical to bet on the "golden mean", that is, just on the odds from 1.55 to 1.9.
Of course, I understand that the analogy is lame, but still has the right to life.
The conclusion from all of the above, my friends, is to bet on average odds.
The topic of the next article is Betting shops, my personal experience
