How to win on bets: 3 main sports betting basics + how bookmakers work + 10 types of bets + 5 popular strategies + instructions for beginners + 6 blunders + 3 reliable bookmakers + 7 tips to increase your chances of success.
Excitement and a special interest in sports have contributed to the formation of sports betting as a separate industry.
Today, sports betting is a hobby for many. Professionals in the field of betting ( from English. bet, wager) on guessing the outcome of sporting events consistently and consistently receive winnings. Their size is sometimes measured in hundreds and thousands of dollars, which allows you to turn bets into earnings.
But novice players without knowledge and experience most often remain in the lining. So the question is: How to win on bets' still does not lose its relevance.
According to statistics, in 25% of situations out of 100% it is possible to win on bets with bookmakers, 75% are a negative result.
It's not enough to just want to win. First you need to get a certain amount of knowledge and learn to observe, analyze, develop discipline in yourself. And, of course, in order to win at sports betting, you need to know some secrets.
We will talk about all this in this article. We hope it will help you achieve maximum success.
Betting Winning: A Brief Tour of Sports Betting
Under sports betting understand the placing of bets by players in a bookmaker's office on the subject of the outcome of a sports competition.
Bets are considered gambling, moreover, with a high level of risk. However, unlike slot machines, casinos and gambling, in general, betting is a legal income.
In addition to legality, the difference lies in the components of the process. To place a bet and win, a person needs statistics, analysis and experience.
In the gaming business, everything is built on luck. Persons revolving in this area use human passion and the desire to win material benefits for selfish purposes. Therefore, victories are rare.
It is not possible to win on bets as often as we would like, but still the probability is higher than in the case of the “one-armed bandit”, because. There are a number of factors that influence success.
In sports it is:
- command structure,
- physical fitness of athletes
- even the weather conditions at the time of the passage of the game and others.
What are successful bets based on?
There are three bases that help win, are unchanged and fundamental.
The foundation of sports betting is built on:
- analytics;
- financial management;
- general account.
As a result, those who want to win at bets should be guided by the formula:
analytics + personal finance management + general accounting = win
The principle of operation of bookmakers and sweepstakes, how to win on bets
The probability of any final result of the match has its own coefficient ( kef), which is set by bookmakers. It is determined depending on the predictability of the outcome.
In addition to the main task, bookmakers (bookmakers, beeches) or Internet services also publish theoretical and practical materials, announce sports news, etc.
Bookmakers receive a margin for their services. If beeches predict an equally probable outcome of sporting events, the coefficient will be not 50/50, but, relatively speaking, 46/46.
8% of them - payment to bookmakers
However, this is not the only source of their income. Bookmakers make money by adjusting the odds based on financial flows and public opinion.
This means that the bookmaker, knowingly assuming who the majority of people will place bets on, artificially reduces the odds for those players or teams.
If bookmakers announce the odds in advance, then you can win on sweepstakes by correct bets and division of the prize fund.
In other words, sweepstakes form winnings based on the total amount of players' investments and distribute them among people who have successfully placed bets.
Beeches earn on the loss of the player, sweepstakes - on intermediary interest.
Odds are calculated by bookmakers according to a certain methodology and are displayed in several forms (decimal - 2.0, 1.5, etc.)
As an illustrative example, let's take a match of 2 hockey teams of equal strength:
Let's say 36% is the probability of each team winning. 28% chance that both teams will draw.
Total: 36 + 36 + 28 = 100%.
Please note that for simplicity, the bookmaker margin was not taken into account in the calculations.
Variety of sports betting: 10 common options
If previously temperamental people found an outlet for their emotions in betting, visiting hippodromes, specialized clubs, then in the modern world, users prefer to place bets.
Thanks to the interactive capabilities of the network, players have the opportunity to place bets at bookmakers and win without leaving home. Every day, online bookmakers offer dozens and hundreds of new betting formats.
Some of them work like a lottery. However, most types of bets allow you to win only through awareness, experience and knowledge.
Main types of bets
Popular tactics and strategies for winning on bets
In addition to various types of bets, bookies use certain tactics and strategies. There are hundreds of them, and none of the strategies is canon.
Betters independently choose the most suitable of them and apply when making bets.
Such consistent and highly adjusted behavior of the players allows not only to win a large amount, but also to consistently receive material rewards.
The most popular betting strategies include:
Dogon- involves placing a bet on the same event until the forecast for it comes true.
It is often used in the live format, when the player has the opportunity to watch how the game is going directly from the arena.
corridors– consists in parallel placing bets in 2 or more beeches. The subject of bets is the same competition.
Suppose one bookmaker accepted your bet on Tottenham. Another bookmaker with the same odds took a bet on Chelsea winnings. As a result, with correct forecasts for the first beech, you get a profit, with the worst case scenario, the amount burns out.
But, having lost in the first office, you can win in the second one. If you manage to win in both, you get great earnings.
Flat- a strategy when a player places bets on a fixed amount. Such a limit allows the better to avoid losing the entire pot.
However, by flat betting, you get a slow capital growth trend, and the amount that can be won is negligible.
Let's say you have 10 thousand rubles at your disposal, you place bets in the amount of 5% of the total bankroll, i.e. the bet is invariably made for 500 rubles.
When your capital increases due to winnings, the amount of investments can also be increased, but the percentage should remain the same.
Forks- the essence of the tactic comes down to choosing several events, bets on which will help you win or break even.
Most experts consider this strategy to be a win-win, because in any case, the player does not remain in the red and even receives more money than he spent on bets.
But bookmakers are biased towards surebet betters, so they set small odds on bets and block accounts.
Value Betting(Value or strategy of an underestimated event by a bookmaker).
The player's task is to explore the BC line in detail and find sports with an overestimated odds.
For example, in the Real Madrid-Barcelona match, many players bet on the favorite (Real Madrid), relying on his superiority in technique and strength. Betters, who use the Value tactic, do the opposite - make bets on Barcelona.
With a single misfire by Real Madrid, the valuators are able to win a very large amount, because. The odds for such an outcome are always impressive.
Now let's move on from the theoretical foundations to the practical part.
What you need to correctly make sports bets and win: instructions for beginners
Beginners in the field of betting have to enjoy only the pleasure of sports and adrenaline. There can be no question of winning, because everything is decided not by luck, but by the ability to place bets correctly, prudence.
At the initial stage of making bets, all "debutants" must adhere to specific sequential actions, namely:
- Get WMR and WMZ wallets in or another payment system.
- Choose a good bookmaker and carefully study the rules of cooperation.
- Familiarize yourself with the main concepts and terms.
- Open an account with a bookmaker and deposit the amount allocated for betting, which will become your first bankroll.
- Determine the events, conduct an appropriate analysis.
- Select the type of bet and place it.
Players who want to win on bets are subject to the following requirements:
- Analytic mind.
- , thoughtfulness.
- Internet access.
- Availability of free time.
- Patience, emotional stability.
The ability to understand the sport on which bets are made.
It is necessary to constantly monitor sports events (transfers, the presence of injuries among players in their form), take into account the weather, recent flights of teams, the results of previous tournaments, and so on.
Common mistakes that prevent beginners from winning
There are many common betting mistakes made by inexperienced bettors, but we will look at 6 of the main ones.
Preventing you from winning when betting on sports:
Lack of control, emotional pressure.
When a beginner does not think soberly, but is guided by the advice of strangers, he is doomed to failure.
Favorite bet.
If you bet on your favorite athlete or team, there is a risk of overestimating his/her abilities.
The pursuit of profit.
Greed and excessive desire for high odds invariably lead to bankruptcy.
Betting on an unknown team.
And this is quite common, although the probability of losing is obvious.
If you do not know how to curb your gambling ardor, you will definitely not be able to win.
It is necessary to act from the position of a mathematician, who, when placing bets, is guided by the calculation, so as not to drain all the money.
Making forecasts for a large number of events.
The optimal number is no more than 3 bets.
It is better to have good knowledge in one area than to be superficial in several.
The list of reliable bookmakers where you can win on sports betting
In order not to be disappointed in choosing a bookmaker, pay attention to the following criteria:
- reliability,
- suggested transaction methods,
- regulations and rules
- minimum deposit amount,
- odds,
- range of possible events.
Based on reviews taken from specialized resources, blogs, find out how many betting shops exist on the market, how much money has already been paid to players. Pay attention to what payment systems the office works with.
Among the best sports bookmakers are:
- www.fonbet.ru
- www.ligastavok.ru
- https://winline.ru
No. 1. Fonbet.ru
Fonbet.ru is the largest international betting network that opened in Russia in 1994.
Betting is accepted in over 75 regions of the Russian Federation and 1 thousand cities, as well as other CIS countries.
Many betters who managed to win note the convenience of the interface, the wide range of sports offered (football, volleyball, hockey, basketball, rugby, tennis, boxing, billiards), high odds.
Support is loyal. There is an online broadcast of matches, chat.
The withdrawal of funds that were lucky enough to win is made promptly (within 3 hours) to a mobile phone account, MasterCard / Visa cards, MIR payment systems, QIWI Wallet.
The minimum amount for a transaction is 100 rubles.
Competitions are held on a regular basis. Open access to sports statistics, mobile application. The quality of the bookmaker's work has been repeatedly confirmed by awards and titles.
No. 2. Ligastavok.ru.
Ligastavok.ru is a legal bookmaker, founded in 2007, and received a license to accept bets in 2009, a member of the First SRO, winner of the Runet Prize.
The organization has more than 470 clubs throughout Russia.
She, doing charity work, contributes to the development of talented domestic athletes, supports children's sports. The office is the general partner of the Russian Football Championship.
As a bonus, the company transfers to each new better a free bet (500 rubles), which can be used once for the entire amount and any type.
The minimum deposit is 10 rubles. and can be topped up using WebMoney, Visa QIWI Wallet, Yandex.Money, terminals (Euroset, Svyaznoy). At the same time, the transfer costs are covered by the bookmaker.
The withdrawal of money that was won is carried out to a bank card and the above payment systems. To receive funds, it is enough to have 10 rubles in the account.
There is no commission. Terms of withdrawal to the card - 3 working days. days, e-wallets - a few minutes.
The amount that the client was able to win, according to Russian tax legislation, is taxed at a rate of 13%.
Every day, the beech provides over 1,000 sports competitions for betting.
You can win at Ligastavok.ru on bets in 20 different sports, including cyber-format, political events, coaching appointments and similar special predictions. Technical support works 24/7.
The verification process involves registration, linking an account to an account, personal identification by visiting one of the betting clubs with a passport.
This bookmaker should be avoided by speculators and players who prefer to bet on the "Corridor", "Forks" strategies.
There is a possibility of video broadcasting of tournaments, tracking the bet made in the club, installing a mobile program.
No. 3. winline.ru.
winline.ru- the official bookmaker, which began its activities in 2009. The organization has a license to accept bets and conduct gambling.
In 2016, it was awarded for the second time as the best betting product of the year.
A loyal bonus program for each bet accrues additional points, which, when accumulated in a certain amount, are converted into free bets (200.1 thousand rubles).
Active players become members of the VIP club and get exclusive advantageous offers to win more money. Finances are deposited via Moneta.ru, Mastercard, Megafon, MTS, etc.
The minimum deposit amount is 500 rubles, the withdrawal is the same. To receive a win, you need to have a bank card or an electronic wallet in Yandex.Money / Visa QIWI Wallet.
You can win funds on bets: Live, Express, System, Single, etc. Bets are made on: hockey, motorsport, basketball, football, cricket, volleyball, e-sports, etc.
The minimum bet is 10 rubles.
Device users can use the mobile version of the resource. Clients with a positive balance are allowed to broadcast online. Winline.ru is not suitable for a professional game.
To open an account here and win on bets, the user needs to visit the site and register:
How to really win on bets, and not lose everything outright?
Learn from other people's mistakes!
- Involve special programs to calculate bet sizes and find the optimal odds.
- Try to avoid top matches where odds are calculated by bookmakers exactly.
- Keep a cool head, restrain your emotions, place your bets wisely.
- Bets must be made exclusively on the basis of equity.
- Practice your skills with free bets or virtual currency games before moving on to real money.
If capital allows you, stick to more than one bookmaker.
Since this is a competitive sector, bookmakers will lure you into betting only with them through various loyalty schemes.
Combine optimal strategies and combine them with analytics.
So you will bet correctly, increase the chances of winning, while controlling the pot.
In conclusion: today, winning at sports betting is a reality for many Internet users.
For professionals, betting in sportsbooks is a complete one. But for beginners who are interested, how to win betting, it will be difficult to succeed until experience is gained.
Responsible approach and determination will help you to increase your income on betting.
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Every person has a desire to earn easy money, usually, many people think that the easiest way to do this, of course, is on the betting exchange, or rather, in a bookmaker's office. Counting on a good jackpot, more and more novice bettors become clients of bookmakers. The frivolous give their money away without a fight, the informed and cautious make money on sports betting all the time. How to beat a bookmaker's office, not only preserving, but also increasing the money earned, without succumbing to unbridled excitement? More on this and more later in the text.
Fast passage
Earnings on bets: where to start
The most important rule that every bettor should remember, whether a beginner or an experienced player, is to clearly understand the difference between a sober analytical calculation and dependence on the game. In the first case, betting can become a source of additional income, in the second case, it can be a serious problem that can bring you considerable financial losses. So, never play with money from the family budget, savings or borrowed funds. You can bet only the amount that is not able to hit your pocket, for example, allocated for entertainment.
However, too small an initial bank for real earnings is also not suitable. In this case, you should not expect millions from a 1000 ruble deposit. The use of various tactics and strategies implies a certain amount on the gaming account or resignation to the fact that we increase the budget itself with winnings.
It is impossible for a beginner to become a professional handicapper in a few days, but doubling the amount invested in a couple of weeks is quite possible. With experience, the profit will increase, and in a year the bookmaker will be able to become a source of stable income for you.
After the novice better has decided on the size of the initial capital, you need to choose a sport for betting. It is better if it is a fairly common game, for example, loved by millions, in which you are well versed or. Even previously watched matches will be a great opportunity to win on bets.
How bookmakers make money on bets
Bookmakers make a lot of money from frivolous bettors. Those players who believe that it is easy to make money on forecasts in bookmakers are mistaken. The vast majority of bettors only lose money, providing revenue to enterprising businessmen. Some mindlessly make bets, not adhering to any system, and in a fit of excitement they invest more and more money. Others are devoted fans of their favorite teams, as a rule, they don’t care much about winning, the emotions themselves are important. Our goal is to make it clear that sober betting with an analytical assessment without emotional accompaniment can consistently make a profit.
Another part of the profits of bookmakers consists of the so-called margin. This is the difference between the odds that the office takes as an intermediary. For example, if the probability of winning between teams is 40 and 60%, the bookmaker gives 37 and 57, respectively. The offices employ a wide staff of experts who make predictions for matches, and also artificially lower the odds for outcomes that are popular with players for betting.
How to make money on bets: instructions for a beginner
All bookmakers are created with one goal - to make a profit, so relying on a huge jackpot, jackpot and the like is simply stupid. Even if you manage to win a large amount (above 100,000 rubles), its full payment at a time can only be expected in the case of a legal bookmaker and probably with a delay. Therefore, it is advisable to place medium-sized bets in different bookmakers, not to keep serious money in your accounts and withdraw even insignificant winnings more often.
Step by step instructions for beginners:
- Registration on the betting exchange.
In Russia, it is better to choose bookmakers who have managed to obtain a license for their activities. No one is responsible for payments at rates in illegal offices. It is useful to read reviews about the work of a bookmaker on the Internet on special forums for bettors, ask around friends who play. On our site you will find only official bookmakers in the Russian Federation, where taxes are transferred to the state budget from the net profit from winnings. So you are guaranteed to get your money.
- Refill.
The office (or even two) is selected, now you need to put money into a virtual wallet. Bookmakers offer a wide range of deposit methods: bank cards (VISA, MasterCard, Maestro), electronic systems (qiwi, webmoney, Yandex money), cash at betting shops. The main EPS of licensed bookmakers is Qiwi, and online banking also works great.
- Rate selection.
Now you can play. Open a line at your bookmaker and place a bet.
One of the main mistakes of beginners is thoughtless forecasts at the behest of intuition. Sooner or later, such tactics will still lead to a complete drain of the bank, and the bettor, wanting to win back, will invest more and more new amounts, gradually raising rates. How not to be in this seemingly inextricable circle and outwit the bookmaker? That's right - have a good strategy and stick to it.
Betting strategies
On the Internet, you can find many strategies for making a profit in bookmakers. Some of them are highly effective, others are extremely doubtful. It is not necessary for a beginner to study each of them. We bring to your attention the most effective and time-tested options. After a series of strategies played, when earnings on sports betting become constant, you can rivet your own action plan.
- Betting against favorites.
It is difficult for novice bettors to see such events, and many experienced analysts use this tactic. Its meaning is that the coefficient on the favorite is always small, experts take into account past achievements and maximally assess his chances for a future game. But you need to follow it carefully - the match is influenced by many events, which, it is advisable to study.
The Spanish team Barcelona is very strong in the home championship. Bookmakers always give a small odds for her victory. However, in parallel, the club also plays matches in the Champions League. The schedule is drawn up in such a way that on Tuesday Barcelona will face a very important meeting with the Italian Juventus, and before it, on Saturday, as part of the national championship, the favorite plays with mediocre Malaga. Bookmakers, out of habit, set the minimum odds for a strong club to win, little considering the fact that the team will not give all the best and spend all their energy on an ordinary duel. As a result, Malaga won with a score of 2:0, and bettors who adhere to this strategy received a very good profit.
- "Forks".
Some time ago, the use of "forks" was extremely popular among betters. They registered in several offices and played on the difference in odds. However, today the numbers of bookmakers do not differ much, and they have learned to calculate the "arb" one or two. So they have every right to block the account.
Bayern and Real Madrid meet in the quarter-finals of the Champions League. We will bet on the passage of one of the teams further.
1st office offers the following odds:
Bavaria - 1.5;
Real - 2.5.
2nd office:
Bavaria - 1.8;
Real - 1.9.
We form a "fork": Real 2.5 each (from the first office) and Bayern 1.8 each (from the second). There are even special calculators on the Internet, according to which you can correctly distribute the amount of the bank to make a profit.
So, in our case:
Initial pot $200. According to the surebets calculator, we should bet 83.72 on Real Madrid and 116.28 on Bayern. In any case, the winnings of 9.3 dollars are guaranteed to us. Not much, but with a 100% guarantee.
- Dogon.
The catch-up strategy is the favorite among betters. Its essence is to increase the amount of the bet when the previous forecast is lost. Although this strategy is also used in casinos, it is important that there is enough budget before the winning bet.
We will bet on total over in football on the Italian team Milan with odds of 2.
- Milan - Genoa: forecast of 100 bucks for over 2.5. The match ended with the victory of the hosts with a score of 1:0, the bet lost.
- Pescara - Milan: the forecast is already $200 for over 2.5. The match ended in a draw 1:1, the bet lost.
- Milan - Palermo: double again - 400 bucks for TB2.5. The match ended 4:0, the bet played.
Net profit amounted to:
400*2 – 400 – 200 – 100 = $100.
In addition to gaming strategies, there are financial ones, the most famous of them:
- Martingale strategy (based on the catch-up principle);
- d'Alembert's strategy (a variation of the first);
- flat (game for a fixed amount).
Unfortunately, win-win strategies in theory in practice have a number of drawbacks, the main of which are: the limitation of the maximum bet by the bookmaker and the non-endless initial pot of the better.
Professional handicappers identify three main components of success:
- A reliable bookmaker whose activities do not contradict the laws of the Russian Federation.
- Properly chosen game strategy and attention to detail.
- Psychological resilience and control over your emotions.
- Make the most of the bonuses offered by bookmakers to increase your earnings on bets.
Many successful bettors share their knowledge on social networks for free with less fortunate colleagues, give useful tips and teach how to make money on bets. Their experience proves that beating the bookmaker is real! Absorb information, test and win, and then earning on sports betting can become your main source of income.
How to make money on sports betting for a beginner?
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It is generally accepted that sports betting is something very far from everyday reality and it is impossible to constantly earn money on them. Quite often bets in bookmakers on football matches are equated in the eyes of the layman to playing in a casino, when the chances of winning are almost zero. But this is not at all the case, and with the right approach, a betting pool can not only increase the dose of adrenaline in the blood, but also bring impressive amounts. Today I will tell you about how to correctly bet on football and other sports, and what you need in order to bet correctly.
Can you win at sports betting
Let's start with the fact that betting is not a casino or a lottery. If in the latter the chance of winning is almost zero, and no matter how you calculate the move, it all depends on luck, then with sports betting everything is much simpler and more reliable: if you have been interested in this or that sport for many years, you will surely be able to foresee the outcome of the next match.
There are many methods and strategies that calculate the probability of the outcome of the game, so that in some cases it is possible to achieve 50% of the reliability of the result. Why not take a chance and make money from your hobby? Today, many fans do just that, so bookmakers are thriving. Bets can even be made online, which greatly simplifies the entire algorithm of the game. In some ways, this is an exciting game that combines your interests, excitement and the opportunity to make good money. The main thing is that the offices work absolutely legally. If you skillfully combine competent miscalculation, knowledge and luck, then you may well turn into a professional privateer.
Who are handicappers and what do they do?
Handicapers are professionals in this game. The main income (often quite impressive) they receive in competition with bookmakers. If the authority of the privateer, as well as his profit, satisfies the player, he may not bet money on the game. The main thing is the accuracy of forecasts. The better the statistics, the more serious the privateer.
It is worth saying that knowledge and talent for miscalculation are not enough to win at bets. It is necessary to have a stable psyche, skills in the field of financial management. The main ability is the ability to control oneself and control emotions. Without this, it is difficult to resist chaotic rates and, as a result, large financial losses. Making money on bets is, first of all, a clear strategy and cold calculation.
If you are good at miscalculations but bad at bets, try yourself as a "sports" privateer to form a successful prediction statistic. If you succeed, then you can already make good money on this. Players will ask for your advice, and bookmakers will publish predictions to increase rates.
How to become a privateer
Clear predictions in a particular sport require, first of all, knowledge. Specialization tactics work best. Focus on one sport, or even one championship. Study the whole history, the dynamics for a particular period of time. The narrower your specialization, the more clear answers you will give to the questions posed.
To begin with, just try to predict the results of the championship for yourself. If you succeed, you can try your hand at betting. But keep in mind that, depending on the odds of the bet, even if you win three times and don't guess the fourth time, you can remain in the red. Choose the right tactics of the game correctly and do not exceed the stakes above the limited amount (5% of the amount).
Recently, paid forecasts have become more and more popular, but we do not recommend paying attention to them. Just think, if their authors were so confident in their predictions, they could put money themselves and win. But they prefer to make money on impulsive and careless fans, reducing the economic risk for themselves to zero. Everything can be learned, but it definitely takes time and patience.
Types of bets
So, you decided to bet on football, but you don’t know what they are and what is their difference? Let's try to understand this issue.
Today, you can bet not only on winning, but also on what exactly the score will be in the game, there are bets on the total, passing to the next round of the game, etc. Today, bookmakers come up with more and more betting options to make the game more diverse . Consider the most popular varieties:
- Outcome bet. The standard variant, in which there are only three options: win, lose and draw. You only receive money when the team you bet on wins. Even in the event of a draw, funds are lost. The options for the outcome of the game are called odds. They are often referred to as W1 (first team win), X (draw), W2 (second team win).
- Pass bet. Relevant for competitions for the cup, where teams fight for passage to the next round of the competition: FIFA, Champions League, national football cup. The essence is very simple: you analyze the situation, bet on the passage of one team out of two. There are only two options here: either the team passes, or flies out of the group, there can be no draw. Only one team out of two advances to the next round, and even if the number of goals is tied, extra time is allowed at the end of the penalty shootout to determine the outcome of the game. Thus, the chance of winning is 50%.
- Bet against the outcome. The "opposite" of the first option. You bet that one of the three odds will not happen, but you can also bet that the match will not end in a draw. So you can get money in case of victory of any of the teams. Betting on W1 or W2 is known as "double chance". The probability of losing is halved, although this bet cannot be called a win-win.
- Bets on total - the number of goals scored during the game. In total there are two types of bets on the total: TM (less than the specified number), TB (more than the specified number). For forecasting gurus, there is even an option to bet on the exact number of goals, but this option is rarely bet on. There are only two basic options for TM and TB, they are called the “2.5 ball line”. The principle is extremely simple: less than 2.5 is 0, 1 or 2 goals per match, more than 2.5 is 3 goals or more. There are also bets on whole totals. By betting on TM3, you get money only in case of 0, 1 or 2 goals per match, with 4 or more goals you lose, but if 3 goals were scored, then the money is returned.
- Handicap bet. It was invented so that people would bet not only on the recognized favorite of the game, but also on the opposite side. Even if the other team loses, bookmakers give a head start of +2.5 goals. Thus, both the victory of a less promising team and the loss of three goals are considered. Even if the score is 3:1, taking into account the handicap, it will be 3:3.5. But with a score of 4:1, even a handicap will not save your money.
- Rate in real time. Includes all options: outcome, pass, total and bets with a handicap, only directly during the match. They are slightly different from the bets in advance and are less profitable, but it is possible to evaluate the game of the teams on the go and not miscalculate.
In addition, you can bet on corners, the total of a specific player and much more.
Free predictions online
Many people are interested in how to bet on football matches if you do not have a deep knowledge of football, but are an ordinary fan. If only professional privateers were betting on sports, this business area would not be so developed and popular. Many fans simply bet on their favorite team, and those who are quick can read the leading marques and determine for themselves which forecast to follow. We have already mentioned paid forecasts, and they should not be trusted. You run the risk of losing both money for the forecast and what you bet on the game. But with free everything is so bad. Many handicappers publish their sports predictions on the Internet for free, and anyone can see them. At the same time, they are interested not so much in money as in the dynamics and statistics of positive forecasts. Their authority in the world of sports depends on this.
So where do players look for free football predictions? Today they use the following resources:
- Groups and forums in social networks dedicated to sports.
- Sites and pages of professional analysts in the world of sports.
- Information on the websites of bookmakers.
Let's say right away that the third option is the most dubious. There are even special "dummy" analysts who constantly give incorrect forecasts, people bet on them and are left with nothing. This is the tactics of bookmakers.
How to properly bet on sports over the Internet so that it starts to make a profit - let's bust the myths and reveal the secrets about what you need to know about sports betting.
Anyone can place a bet, but not everyone can make a profit. And this is largely due to the initially wrong approach.
What you need to know about sports betting
How bookmakers work
The first thing to understand is how bookmakers work.
The bookmaker is always in the black, no matter what the outcome
How do they do it? Let's look at an example
Let's say a football match is expected between the Spanish Barcelona and Yaroslavl Shinnik (and why not 🙂).
Only 3 outcomes of the meeting are possible:
- Barcelona wins
- Draw
- Shinnik wins
For each event, bookmakers calculate the odds - that is, people working in such firms predict the outcome of the meeting and make an assumption about the probability of the outcome of each event.
Based on these assumptions, the initial coefficients are calculated using the formula
100 / percent probability
For example, we, as bookmaker analysts, believe that:
(we should scatter 100% over 3 events)
We collect money from the players. In total, they collected a total of 100 rubles (for reality, you yourself can assign a lot of zeros in your mind 🙂, and for simplicity we will take smaller numbers).
Of them:
But an attentive reader will notice that with such odds, the office will not earn anything, because with each outcome, the payout of the winnings will be the same 100 rubles - that is, all the money collected.
Therefore, bookmakers scatter not 100%, but 110%, for example, thereby lowering these odds, and at the output we already have something like this:
- Barcelona - coefficient 2.4 (instead of 2.5)
- Draw - odds 4 (instead of 5)
- Shinnik - coefficient 2.4 (instead of 2.5)
Calculate the profit for each outcome:
If you don't believe me, here is a screenshot with the odds of one of the bookmakers:
We consider the total probability of all events (in theory, this is 100%).
- 100 / 3,04 = 32,8947%
- 100 / 3,62 = 27,6243%
- 100 / 2,44 = 40,9836%
32,8947%+27,6243%+40,9836% = 101,5026%.
And if you redistribute the coefficients, taking into account that the maximum profit is on a more probable event, then the profit is even greater. Therefore, depending on what they bet on, the coefficients change in the process. The more you bet on a team to win, the lower the coefficient will be on it.
For example, here are the odds:
And here is the event after 7 hours:
This means that during these 7 hours there was more money for those who bet on a draw, and in order for the bookmaker not to be at a loss, he redistributed the odds.
It is important to know: there are fundamental and low-margin bookmakers
Low margin bookmakers
From the word "low margin", those who earn from the turnover of funds (essentially the method that we described above). They do not care how you bet and how much, because in the end they are still in the black. Professional players work with such offices. Their margin is usually around 2%.
Their cons: a narrow line - a small painting of rates.
pros: Higher reliability.
Fundamental bookmakers
If you search the Internet for what fundamental offices are, then everywhere they write about the same thing:
- A wide range of bets, including live
- Make money on players' losses
- They don't like professionals.
- Designed for amateurs
- Cutting highs for arbers and other guys
To be honest, I didn’t have an understanding of who these guys are and how they work, if you understand the principle of their earnings, please write in the comments.
How not to lose money on bets
Only after some time you realize that winning is not the main thing, the first thing you need to start with is to understand how not to lose and get at least zero when you start betting on sports.
According to unofficial statistics, 90% of players lose their money on bets and only 10% have a stable income, pocketing the money of these 90%.
If you have already prepared for clear and specific instructions for saving your money, then in vain - there is no magic pill. But there are basic rules that will reduce the risk to a minimum.
- First of all, the player must be prepared for the fact that his finances are already lost. Therefore, determine for yourself right away - how much you are ready to drain before something starts to work out. If you set out to really make money in the game, you will have to make a lot of intellectual effort and give yourself to the matter with all seriousness. Yes, the key here is intellectual work.
- Emotions are the main enemy. How many stories about how people drained their deposit by betting money on emotions - for example, I bet on the victory of team 1, it started to lose and biting your elbows you go and bet live on another team to somehow mitigate the loss, as a result, team 1 wins , but you're in the red, it's a shame. The most ridiculous bets are made against the background of emotions after an easy win or a hard loss.
- Don't play all-in. Set yourself a maximum bet of 1-5% of the deposit and never break this rule.
- Set yourself a limit on the number of bets per week. Why is it necessary? From experience, I can say that after a loss, I really want to win back immediately, and it is the observance of this limit that saves from stupid sudden decisions that lead to bankruptcy.
- In the end, make yourself a list of rules that under no circumstances should be violated. Analyze and supplement it with each loss, do not be fooled by emotions, remind yourself that any broken rule is a path to bankruptcy.
How to start winning
So, how to start competently betting on sports - Your passion for some kind of sport, such as football or hockey, will be a big plus. It is the initial attraction that creates the prerequisites for the constant study of teams, transfers, permutations in the starting lineup and coaching changes in tactics. Such information is also available to bookmakers, but for them it is just a job. And for you it should be a passion!
- Bet only on what you understand, choose a certain league for yourself and watch it as deeply as possible: study the standings, the physical form of the teams, who ate what for breakfast 🙂. Don't spray yourself - be a professional in a narrow niche.
- Thinking without stereotypes, analysis of statistics. Blind faith in the victory of your favorite team will not help you make money
Apply all fundamental knowledge in combination with betting strategies. description and examples of work on strategies can be found on this site.
Betting strategies
Many players - both beginners and experienced ones - successfully use time-tested strategies:
- Dogon. Bets are made on the same outcome (for example, a draw) until it comes.
More details: . - Fork. Use the difference in the odds of several bookmakers.
More:. - Corridor. They play on the handicap system.
More: - Value betting. The player bets only on inflated odds from the bookmaker.
More: - paddock. A bet on the total in live with a dry draw and a firm belief that there will be goals (usually used in football matches).
And this is just a short list of single betting strategies.
How to bet on sports online
I don't think it's necessary to go into detail here. (if necessary, write about it in the comments).
So the main points are:
- Choose a bookmaker ();
- Register;
- And by choosing an event, we place a bet.
P.S. thanks cap 🙂
1 important point: when registering, indicate your real data
For what? One of the tricks that bookmakers resort to in case of your winnings is to refuse to withdraw money until you provide a copy of your passport. And if you signed up as Vasya Pyatochkin, then, accordingly, goodbye.
2 Important point: if the bookmaker's website does not open
This does not mean that the bookmaker no longer exists, most likely it was simply blocked by your provider, so you need to go through a proxy (if you want to paint in more detail how, write in the comments)
Firstly, do not bet blindly, just hoping for an attractive odds. Luck is a very slippery thing, and counting on it is very risky! Sooner or later she will take all your money from you!
Always look at statistics, analyze past games and, if possible, news regarding the situation within both teams. Most often, bets incorrectly determine the current state of affairs at a given time, but are only justified by the rating, popularity or position of the club in the standings. However, the team can go into decline, it can have suspended or injured key players, etc.!
Secondly, in nature there is no 100% winning bet, as well as 100% certainty in the result of the match!
Try to designate for yourself that the MAXIMUM that can be is 90-95% confidence in the result of the game (this is the highest probability, and often it is not more than 50%). 100% can never be! If such a thought hovers in your head, then you need to do everything so that it disappears ... Find the prerequisites for the fact that such a result may simply not happen ... Find a weak spot that always exists!
Third, do not be lazy to find out the weather, which is expected to be on the day of the game. It plays a very important role, for example, in football and, knowing the weather conditions, we can expect an approximate course of the game for both teams.
Snow or rain are a definite advantage in defense tactics, it is much easier to destroy in such conditions than to attack ... Therefore, the result is like a regular or dry draw, when one and the opponents play for the sake of not losing - the most likely!
Repeatedly, not knowing the weather conditions, we lost very probable bets... Rain or snow should be a surprise for anyone, but not for you! If at least something hints at the fact that there will be changes in the weather for the worse, then the best way out is to play it safe than just rely on lady fortune!
Fourth, get detailed information from the camps of the two rivals. Disqualifications, absenteeism, injuries - all this will help to predict the outcome as accurately as possible, and, in turn, bet your money correctly!
If there was a disqualification or injury to defensive midfielders or defenders, then this in itself indicates possible problems in defense and potential goals conceded.
If the disqualification or injury was the main attacking player or the team captain, then the question arises: will the players be able to score, what changes will they make in the tactics of the game, will they be able to implement the standard that will bring them forward.
However, if the main standards performer was injured or disqualified, then this can also make you think.
Thus, try to study the future state of the players in as much detail as possible.
Fifth, you should not bet on a dry victory of a club leaving to play on a foreign field.
One of the most common losses is when the favorite goes to the middle/underdog team and ends up taking home one point... Players on a stronger team often fail to set themselves up to take an outsider seriously. , and those, in turn, want to squeeze the maximum out of themselves in order to get even closer to the leader.
The most common situation occurs when a club from the top lines of the table plays an away match, scores once and tries to finish the match, practically not playing and not wasting energy, and the opponent uses this slack and equalizes the score at the very end.
Therefore, a bet on the winning of the guest club, wherever the opponent is in the championship table, is always a risk, and the risk should always be minimized! Therefore, the X2 bet is one of the key options for considering this kind of deal!
At sixth, repeatedly weigh all your options and make an adequate decision before directly betting that the club will score away!
To make such a bet, you must first read and complete paragraphs 1-5 of these secret rules.
If you are really 95% sure that a club leaving to play at a foreign stadium will definitely score, then feel free to bet!
But do not forget about the home team, because their task is also to score a goal!
Seventh, you should not bet on too small and large “to win” quotes, especially when you like to play multiple bets!
Small and large odds are almost 100% loss in the accumulator bet.
It is better not to bet on:
- large (above 1.85): the outcome is unlikely! If you think that the probability is quite high, then you should carefully read such a match, and you will probably be able to understand why the bookmaker puts such a high quote! On top of that, remember about match-fixing! You probably don’t know about them, but there are people who earn huge money from this!
- small (1.09 and below): because it will not have weight in the multiple bet, and this fact alone should already dissuade you. Why an unjustified risk in one bet to the whole chain! And yet, they are often simply based on the position in the championship and ratings, since they are not able to closely monitor all championships, tournaments and cups (this situation does not apply to the most popular championships. Everything is carefully calculated in them, and any change that may have an impact on the result will be taken into account) ...
Eighth, no need to bet on clear WINS in friendly or pre-season, insignificant games!
The best option would be to ignore such matches altogether. However, if you still really want to bet on such a game, then keep in mind that the probability of WIN in such matches is reduced by half or three times!!! You will ask why? But because the plans of the coaching staff for these games are unknown to anyone. Maybe he wants to try a new defensive tactic, maybe he wants to test his young subjects by giving leaders a break, and so on. Or maybe the players are just not set up, which happens most often!
Ninth, do not type EXPRESS from a huge number of games! The fewer games, the more your chances of winning increase!
The best would be an accumulator of 2-3 games. Playing express bets is a very big risk, and if you decide to play 8-9 matches, then the probability of winning will sag to a large extent, which is not advisable!!! If, nevertheless, you rave about a big jackpot, take risks, but the result will be sad for you! Fortune can smile only once, but soon you will give up your money anyway! (I mean exactly the express system).
tenth, you should not include an unconsidered result or a result with a small degree of probability in an express bet ...
A fairly common mistake is when you have selected all the matches that you wanted and calculated, but the coefficient came out much less, what you expected, or it is simply not round or ugly, AND THEN you deliberately insert into the accumulator an outcome that you have not even looked at! And what, in your opinion, the result will not justify the hopes? Eleventh, do not chase for a large coefficient! The best EXPRESS is the one that consists of 2 - 3 games, with a total quote of 1.5-3.5.
Don't take big odds! Do not dig yourself a financial hole!
Eleventh, if, nevertheless, the desire to score a lot of matches overcame your common sense, then it makes sense to explain to you the so-called “SYSTEM” ...
If you have looked through the bookmaker's line of matches and you are interested in the games you want to bet on, but there are more than 7-8 such matches, then the Accumulator will most likely be lost in this case ... It's better to just bet “SYSTEM”!!! The probability of winning money from "SYSTEM" is much higher, since often in such a large accumulator one or two results may not converge!
