How to catch the value coefficient on the Pinnacle line? Why doesn't Pinnacle cut limits? Loading lines BC Pinnacle line archive.

13.06.2019

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    Pinnacle strategy. My many years of unsuccessful attempts at writing.

    For many years, he has been thinking about finding an approach to the pinnacle line. Instead of spending hours searching for the necessary information in order to place only 5-6 pinnacle bets, I would like to develop a betting strategy based on the technical analysis of the line and place bets using a scanner, as is the case with a marathon. Agree, it would be nice to bet in a pinnacle without a headache, where the bills are not cut and there are no other surprises, as in the case of Mr. offices. There you can earn, if not due to turnover, then due to high limits.

    I am sure that there are players who managed to identify a pattern in the movement of the line and successfully apply their strategy in the pinnacle. But these are likely to be few. Since, it seems to me, no one intends to disclose the strategy for free just like that, I propose to think together and look for this buried dog: dp:

    To begin with, I will share my experiments that I have been perverting over the pinnacle line and the archive of rates for more than one year.

    I took all the data from the archive. To identify patterns, I used such services as scanbet, odsportal and also a arb scanner which is described on the main page.

    1. He took the first movement of the line in the pinnacle since its discovery. Naturally put on a reduction factor. A sample of 1000 bets showed that nothing interesting happened in the end. Around the breakeven point. While the dispersion clearly went beyond the required mathematical expectation.
    2. Having read the advice of American experts, I played exclusively according to their recommendations: if the line moves confidently in one direction, then follow the line. I took several options for this strategy. The first is when the handicap changed by 1 or more points in basketball and if it went by 0.1 in football. The result is identical to the previous one. But what is interesting in the first and second cases, there are such periods when at a distance of 200-300 RIO bets you get more than 10%, but then without changing the algorithm everything turns upside down and in the end after 800-900 bets you come back to where you came from , i.e. to zero.
    3. I compared the readings of the line in the pinnacle: the beginning line and the line just before the start. If there were deviations of 0.1 points or more, I chose this outcome. The result is much sadder than in the previous two cases, at the end of the experiments in search of a strategy, the picture was clearly visible that I got on the margin and the minus was noticeable here.
    4. I tried to bet on arbitrage events those that according to our strategy in the marathon, but instead of an inflated coffee, I chose a coffee in a pinnacle, hoping to get at least 2% of the turnover. Result = breakeven point.
    5. On the advice of some members of my blog, I tried to put down one shoulder of the surebet in Pinnacle, when such offices as bet365, Marathon, Dafabet, Sportingbe, Gamebookers, Sbobet, Betsity, 188bet and others more or less well-known were the initiators of the surebet and where, with the slightest degree of probability, you can hide professional player. The result of the pinnacle strategy was the same as in the fourth method of experiments.

    Conclusion: applying more or less obvious facts possible for a positive outcome, the games in Pinalka each time ended unsuccessfully. I made all these developments during the last 3 years. A lot of time and effort was spent looking for events, results and analysis.

    As you can see, in some cases, using the analysis of the movement of the line in the pinnacle, we can find the break-even point, but we cannot go further. It turns out that whatever one may say, the pinnacle line is really the most correct and it is correct at any time the bet is accepted. And in order to win in pinnacle, you need to find out more information in this period of time and before other players do it.

    Naturally, I didn’t completely abandon my experiments and I believe in a hundred that the pinnacle strategy will still be born. But so far there is no food for brains. We need something new...

    Actually here I would like to talk with everyone who is interested and interested in finding a pinnacle strategy. Who will probably have some thoughts, guesses, opinions, etc. Glad to hear and discuss.

    ps Together we are strength.

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    Novel

    • offline

    But what if you watch successful marques and compare the dynamics of the downloaded coefficient? Collect a sample of such marques and display the general trend of the loaded keff.

    The strategy is similar to your first, only in your case you just relied on the movement of the Pinnacle line, and in this case, the behavior of the players behind the privateer is taken as a support.

    True, you will have to create a lot of parsers, look for successful pinnacle marques, buy their subscriptions, and conduct analytics.

    I understand with my thoughts what you mean, but alas, I can’t build such a parser. :) And yet ... there are such cases that privateers who do not have subscribers (and I think these are the lion's share of all those who play piancle) according to recent information, load a serious amount within one minute for several maximum rates in a row. In this case, the cof can fall by 0.2 points. Either Pinnacle's analytical department sniffs it out - the amendment will immediately be significant. We will be able to see this in the scanner, but physically we will not have time to put it in the pinnacle. Only in an office with a late line.

    It would be nice to learn to recognize when the pros bend the line, and when the analysts.


    Alexander

    • offline

    For more than 3 months I have been analyzing the movement of the coefficients of pinky and other offices before that I analyzed matches without it, as a result I came to the conclusion that the relationship is very deeply buried, but not everything is so bad.

    What we ended up digging up:

    1. It’s not enough to follow only the pinky line, you need to watch the movement at other offices.
    2. An analysis of statistics, the position of the standings, injuries to players, and knowledge of how good the teams are in this period of time will not interfere with this matter.
    3. The most important point that is worth looking at is not only movements on p1, x, p2, but also handicaps, totals, this is where the grail is buried in my opinion. I myself am now intensively paying more attention to this, and as I wrote above, not only on kick, but also on other offices.
    4. Conclusion: If you master all these intricacies, then it is quite possible to achieve positive results at a distance.
    5. I am also looking for smart guys to create a small community to beat the betting lines together, I also created a whole site for this, the league of predictions http://sportoops.com/, in order to earn in the future not only on my bets, but also additionally on mailing lists, on the site convenient services for sending forecasts have been implemented, both free and premium, with a very advanced implementation of accounting.


    Alexander

    • offline

    You can evaluate the first tests of enhanced monitoring and operation of the scheme on the website for 2++ odds, also according to this scheme, it was planned to set a handicap of -1 simultaneously with p1(p2), which would have raised the odds to 3(4)+ and added additional profit, 4 predictions and everyone came in, also yesterday 2 but did not upload it, checked it. The fact that it’s not panache is my topic on mmgp and beef yesterday. I keep testing...

    Thank you! I will definitely watch. The fact of the matter is that if you fix the moment of the line shift (not a single one, but a mass one for all offices), then this is already a wake-up call. And if you start to dig what caused this movement - what is important information, then the coffee will fall even lower, losing its attractiveness. A different approach is needed here. And so everything again comes down to the banal analytics of a sporting event. By the way, what is your selection for this pinnacle strategy?


    Alexander

    • offline

    The selection so far is only 7 bets and all have passed, I started trying 2 days ago, I only recently finalized the previously missed points, but the odds are 2++ and the most interesting thing is that 3 bets out of these 7, the handicap -1 flew in (namely, on home and -2 even passed would), the rest would have gone back, the odds would have exceeded 3.5-4, respectively.


    Alexander

    • offline

    By the way, there are quite a few anilitics there, it’s easier to say more sound logic, but it’s not a long time to scroll through the statistics, the push to the rate comes just after the analysis of the line.

    Clear. Well, at this stage, it does not mean anything yet. You yourself must understand for more or less objective data you need to make at least 500-700 bets. And often this is not enough. For some individual types of strategies, the indicator after 700 bets was about 10% of the turnover, and by 1000 it went to the breakeven point. So it's not easy work. Especially when you consider that bets are not made automatically, and each bet is given time for analysis, etc.


    Alexander

    • offline

    For example, according to the statistics, Norwich had to lose to Derby County, well, at best, grab a draw, and the line said that the handicap -1.5 (-2) should go in. Although a 5-0 victory over Brandford gave hope that p1 should fly in. In any case, the knowledge of the clubs would not hurt.


    Alexander

    • offline

    Here is another example of Stoke - Watford, here both the movement of the line and the statistics indicate that even a -1.5 handicap should go in, so you can take a handicap-1 for 2.6, which is also a good odd. Stoke is bound to win against Watford in 10 minutes. But for example, with Crystal Palace - Swansea, the line says that something is wrong there and you should not take it, although Swansea is also playing poorly now, that is, it can grab onto a draw. Next, Bournemouth - Arsenal, looks like a -1 handicap for 2.45, after the same 10-minute analysis. Of course, you can study in more detail, but in half an hour we already have something.


    Alexander

    • offline

    Watford, by the way, also has a bunch of injured.


    Alexander

    • offline

    Also, with minus handicaps, you can put down p1, p2, you never know if they suddenly roll on 2 balls. In any case, the odds are normal, even with a pass of 40-45% + there will be a profit.

A value bet is a bet with an advantage over the line in terms of the likelihood of the outcome of events. That is, if the bookmaker believes that the probability of winning each of the tennis players is 50% to 50%, and you think that the probability is 55% to 45%, then you flirt with the outcome, the probability of which, in your opinion, is 55%. In this case, the bet is considered valuable, because you made it with an advantage over the line, or, as it is correct to say: with a positive checkmate. waiting. If you constantly bet with a positive mathematical expectation, then you will be in the black in the long run. (this advantage, of course, should cover the bookmaker's margin).

A table to help you:

For example, the match Querry - Raonic. If you evaluate the probability of this event 50/50, you do not see any advantages for any of the tennis players, then it will suit you, both the bet with odds more than 2 on Querry, and the bet with odds more than 2 on Raonic. Both rates will be in value. Those. in fact, while the odds were moving here, you could play 2+ for both Querry and Raonic, and both bets would be value bets if the real probability of the outcome of the event is 50/50.

From 9 a.m. to 12 a.m. on Querry it even reached 2.16

There are no values ​​in "kick"!

And now let's dispel the myth that there are no values ​​in Pinnacle, because. there are the most professional analysts who set the line as competently as possible. And for us, ordinary people who sit at home at the computer with a mug of beer, it is quite difficult to make a more accurate analysis than a professional team at a top bookmaker does.

Partly, this is true, but not all. Let's instead of long texts, I will give a couple of illustrative examples from the past week, which will prove that there are values ​​in Pinnacle.

Fabbiano - Clan. 2.22 for Fabbiano, 2.02 for Klan.

De Minaur - South. 1.79 on De Minaura, 2.60 on South

De Minaur - Johnson. 2.90 on De Minaura, 1.92 on Johnson.

1.79 for De Minaura or 2.6 for South? 2.22 for Fabbiano or 2.02 for Klan? 2.90 for De Minaura or 1.92 for Johnson?

One of the 2 coefficients is EXACTLY valued (simple math), and it may well be that both are valued.

In such cases, it cannot be said that there are no values ​​if, as in the match with Querry - Raonic or Clan - Fabbiano, we are offered odds of more than two in both directions. Obviously not at the same time. And there are many such events, the coefficients move, and in a certain period of time, either at the beginning, or in the middle, or at the end, there are very often values. But these values ​​disappear relatively quickly (from a couple of minutes to a couple of hours).

If the bookmaker has set incorrect quotes, then professional players will quickly shift the line in the right direction. But sometimes this line shifts too much, in my opinion, and you can already flirt in the other direction. Not so long ago there was a match between Shapovalov and Tim. And the betting mass began to load Shapovalov, although it was competent and correct, I was in solidarity with them, but they loaded it so much that they gave Tim 1.9, and this, in my opinion, was already too much. I counted Tim for 1.9 value bet, although before the match I had no idea to flirt with Tim. I hope this is sorted out.

What if the quotes don't change?

From experience, there are usually much fewer values ​​in stable quotes. What is the chance that the value you found is not seen by most of the big players? Small. There is a chance when there is a nuance that everyone takes into account, and you, from experience, consider it “noise”, or vice versa. For example, del Potro's fatigue before the match with Raonic. Everyone believes that this will not affect in any way, and you believe that this will be important in the upcoming meeting.

Or, for example, Zverev - Seppi in Rotterdam (quotes on P1/P2 did not change significantly). Almost everyone forgot that at the tournament in Rotterdam they play balls from Technebrife, and not Head, which A. Zverev hates. As a result, both Ferrer and Seppi took almost all of Zverev's first innings into the court under the back. As a result, everything worked out for Seppi, since Sasha's serve did not work because of the balls. In general, like such mini-nuances.

But still, there are more values ​​in those coefficients that have changed.

But how do you catch these rocks anyway? How to follow the movement of coefficients? How to be ready for the exit of the line in order to quickly pick up your value?

How to "catch" values ​​in Pinnacle?

The main thing: you need to thoroughly understand your sport.

You need to watch matches, analyze all the data, even before the bookmaker rolled out the line, i.e. you need to determine the class of players, look at personal meetings, find out motivation, look at their last meetings, statistics, see how the player performs against left-handers / right-handers, how he performs in this tournament, what dynamics he has during the tournament, whether he is tired or not, how much time he spent on the court, etc. etc. In general, all your experience, all the data that you have, you collect and analyze. And, perhaps, you will form your own opinion about the probabilities of outcomes in the upcoming event. For example, 70% for player 1, 30% for player 2.

And it's better to write it down somewhere before the line is released. For example, the Anderson-Coric line comes out. I'm ready to play if Coric +4 is offered for 1.9, or I'm ready to play Anderson if Kevin is offered for 1.75, for example. You will count Coric +4 as a value bet and Anderson for 1.75 you can also count as a value bet. Also, you think that there will be a struggle, and if they offer a total over 22 for 1.9, then you are also ready to play this bet, since in your opinion the probability of breaking the total is 65%. And before the line is rolled out for you, it is desirable that you already have your own outlines, sketches and thoughts that you are ready to play.

But if you do not fumble in sports, then it is difficult to do this. You will consider the bet a value bet, but in fact it will not be such.

Once you have your thoughts formed, you need to be ready for the line to come out, because after Pinnacle rolls out the line, you won't have very much time to play a value bet. If the bet is very valuable, then you will have about 5 minutes to play it. If it’s just a regular value bet, then you will have up to about 20-90 minutes to play the desired outcome.

Those. you need to be ready to exit the line.

How do I find out about the exit of the line on Pinnacle?

The easiest way is to arrange with a programmer to develop software for you that would give you signals when a line for this tournament has come out. That is, if a line has come out, let's say, to the Indian Wells semi-final, then you immediately receive a signal to your software and you can immediately go to Pinnacle and see what is happening there. But it is clear that this is a rather specific topic and this software will not be cheap for you. I didn’t see such options on the network, there are such beacons for football (the guys from mellbet made), but there are no such beacons for tennis available on the network. But let's assume that we don't have that kind of money yet, we're not ready to spend on it, and we're still not sure that something will work out for us in this area to spend the money. Therefore, in this case, we will try to catch the coefficient manually.

We catch our coefficient manually. How does this happen? We are running out of meetings, for example, ¼ finals. Finished their meeting and Del Potro and Raonic. After that, we have a certain countdown until the bookmaker makes his analysis and rolls out the line.

In most cases, the line is rolled out first, like the twin brothers, Marathon and 1xBet. They are usually followed by Pinnacle. Focusing on quotes, Pinky already and everyone else climbs out of the gorges with their quotes. We will focus on Marathon and Pinnacle.

Estimated line exit time P1/P2:

1st round- The Marathon rolls out about half a day after the draw. - Pinnacle 4-6 hours after the Marathon. Occasionally, 30 minutes-1 hour after the Marathon, if there is less than a day before the upcoming meetings.

2 round - ¼ finals- The marathon rolls out 2-4 hours after the end of the last meeting. Depends on the stage/tournament/time. Conditional Dubai (500-nick + day) will roll out faster than Sao Paulo (250-nick + night).- Pinnacle will roll out 15 minutes - 1 hour after the Marathon (sometimes a little faster than the Marathon)

½ final - final- Marathon 10 minutes - 1 hour after the end of the meetings. - Pinnacle, approximately 30 minutes after the Marathon.

This is all for the main outcomes. And what about odds, totals and other things?

Let's take a look at odds and totals:

At the Marathon, the main line of odds and totals (with odds around 1.9) comes out simultaneously with P1/P2. Those. all the time frames described above are also suitable for odds with totals. It remains to deal with pinnacle.

1st round- from 1 hour to 5 hours after the release of quotes on P1/P2. You can’t guess for sure: Pinnacle rolled out to Acapulco in 30 minutes, and to Dubai in 5 hours

2 round - final- In 2/3 of the cases, 1 hour after the W1/W2 exit at Pinnacle.

Around this time, you need to be online, you need to go to oddsportal.com or directly to Pinnacle and monitor when the line for the desired match comes out.

Minus: LIMITS. There are rather unpleasant limits for one bet in the line that just came out (fresh). For the ATP qualification, the challenger or the left match of the 1st round can be $300-500 each. But this does not mean that you cannot put down a larger amount. You just need to bet $500 10 times. Naturally, after each of your bets, the odds may change.

What to do if there are no value coefficients in the fresh line, in your opinion?

No, there is no judgment. In this case, we are waiting for the quotes to change and, perhaps, the change in quotes will lead to the fact that we still get, in our opinion, a value coefficient. But it’s a day before the match, it’s quite difficult to monitor the whole day every 30-60 minutes, how the odds change.

Therefore, we download the application from PinnacleSports, register, find the right match. We go to the desired match and see the main outcomes (Win1/Win2) and the main totals and odds, by clicking on some outcome, we will see a graph of odds changes.

For example, let's take the match: Del Potro - Raonic. Let's say we calculate odds = 3 for Raonic - we value. We enter the value of the value coefficient under the graph. If the coefficient on Raonic becomes equal to 3 (or more), then we will receive a notification. This is quite convenient because as soon as this quote reaches 3, you can quickly place a bet.

Works for W1/W2 and main outcomes by handicaps and totals. If you want to bet on a +3 handicap, then you need to follow it yourself.

This is not only suitable if you use and bet at Pinnacle, because. The absolute majority of bookmakers move the line along the pinnacle, respectively, in other offices, most likely, quotes will also change, only with a delay, which is even better for you. Therefore, if you bet somewhere in a completely different place, in a conditional FonBet, FonBet will still move the line along with the global community.

Actually, this is how the "capture" of valuev occurs. I call it trapping, because usually they do not lie around for a long time in a conspicuous place.

Let's recap. How do we look for values?

  1. You need to understand thoroughly in the chosen sport.
  2. We make an analysis of upcoming events.
  3. We assume which coefficients are valuable for us. We write them down somewhere in a notebook or somewhere in a laptop, on a phone.
  4. We are waiting for Pinnacle to roll out its line (approximate time intervals above)
  5. If, in your opinion, there are value coefficients, then we review everything again, if everything is ok, we flirt.
  6. If, in your opinion, there are no values, go to the Pinnacle application and enter, in our opinion, value coefficients into the alerts.
  7. If the quote reaches the value we need, then we will immediately receive a notification and we will be able to play the selected outcome (+ check if there is any news that could affect the growth of the odds).

All. I hope it was helpful. Good luck!

The phrase "Money is everything" means that money is often the best tool to achieve goals. The same can be said about betting, as monitoring the movement of funds can help improve your results.

Many people believe that the best way to determine the outcome of a future competition is to keep track of cash flows. Understanding the movement of the market can help predict the future in everything from sports betting to major events.

A case in point occurred in 2003. The Pentagon sponsored an experiment called the "futures market for terrorism." The idea was to allow traders to speculate on terrorism, which would allow the security services to get the information they needed.

The idea that people could profit from placing bets on terrorist attacks sparked widespread public outcry and the experiment was canceled 24 hours after it was announced. The creation of a "futures market for terrorism" proves the claim that everything has a price.

Sports betting is no exception.

For example, a sharp reduction in the odds of betting on tennis players is a sign that many people have a deep confidence in the victory of one or another athlete.

Changing the odds does not guarantee he or she will win, but if you bet on a given match, you can decide who you trust more - the markets or yourself.

You should listen to when "money matters" at Pinnacle Sports, paying due attention to a phenomenon called "Pinnacle Lean".

Pinnacle Lean

Pinnacle Sports has a reputation for being the go-to site for understanding the betting market.

Many lazy bookmakers borrow Pinnacle Sports odds (adding higher margins) before opening their markets to customers. The "Voice of Money" at Pinnacle Sports is so important it's even given a name - Pinnacle Lean.

Why? Because Pinnacle Sports' unique business model is based on providing the best odds and high limits, as well as the absence of common account restrictions. This attracts professional players who want to increase the potential profit.

Unlike other bookmakers, Pinnacle Sports uses its own professional traders to place early lines with reduced limits. What happens next depends on competent players who move the market and increase the limits over time.

If the match betting line moves, it always starts on the Pinnacle Sports website

Odds always move faster on Pinnacle Sports than on other bookmaker sites.

Our unbeatable odds and high limits, along with a no cap policy for high achievers, shows that Pinnacle Sports is a bookmaker for serious professionals.

In addition, Pinnacle Sports gives its players the ability to track the movement of the odds within our dynamic lines that show the direction of the odds.

Therefore, Pinnacle Sports allows all players to bet with high limits and excellent odds. While our goal is to ensure a balanced game, savvy players sometimes manage to place two maximum limit bets on a selected team before the line starts to move.

Low margins ensure high volumes. This means that the coefficients are the result of the natural situation in the market. Traditional sports bookmakers with expensive markets between 105% and 112% receive lower volumes, so their prices do not reflect the real situation in the market. If you want to know the "fair" market price of a match, check out the Pinnacle Sports odds one hour before the match starts.

This information helps bettors to make money in the future by betting on odds that are better than Pinnacle Sports odds (out of the market), given that our site is a reliable guide to market opinion.

You can win more on all major sports if you find a handicap or total that is 1.5 points better than on Pinnacle Sports with similar odds.

Many successful players, having sipped the bitter experience of playing in offices that reduce betting limits, are looking for all sorts of ways to beat the Pinnacle bookmaker

Many people lose their nerves, frequent purchases of new accounts are not always justified. With a positive game, cuts for Mr. offices go one after another. And they are kicked out of the offices, regardless of whether you are an arber or an analyst. Then the attention of the players at the Pinnacle is focused. After all, Pinnacle is one of the few offices that does not pursue winners and honestly pays out all winnings, while never reducing the limits on bets.

I wrote about how to beat a bookmaker using information in the section on strategies*, and Pinnacle is also suitable for these strategies. With the right approach in this office, you can earn and earn a lot. Yes, I agree, with all equals, not as much and stable as in the Marathon, but you can earn. But all these methods are analytical. You need to sit for hours, find information on the network on teams, on injuries, disqualification and other important information. The main thing in this business is to get ahead of Pinnacle and other players in terms of quality and freshness of information, until the flow of money came there and the line of pinnacle did not fall. Or until the line markers correct the line themselves.

This job is not easy. In addition, we will not find many such rates with overpriced coffees along the pinnacle line every day. Finding a way to beat BK Pinnacle using a technical approach is another matter.

Many players, and I am no exception here, spend a lot of time testing various strategies for loyal bookmakers. The basis of such strategies is the movement of coefficients.

I posted all my tests and their results on my forum

So, from my long experiments, I concluded that the correctness of the pinnacle line in a certain period of time is close to perfection and maximum accuracy. Hands down temporarily. Still….. spend so much time on tests….. But my following observations added optimism. Somehow, while analyzing the positive mailings of bets on Pinnacle from other privateers, I came to the conclusion that there are still ways to beat the Pinnacle bookmaker using the technical analysis of the line.

Let's take a closer look at the example of sending pinnacle rates by one author. The example is taken from the betonsuccess.ru betting exchange, and the mailing list is called fork.ARB.L www.betonsuccess.ru/sub/25186/fork.ARB.L/stats/all/

If we go into a detailed analysis of the rates of this newsletter, we see such a picture separately for offices.

It doesn't take a lot of intelligence to understand from the history of bets and comments on the mailing wall that all predictions are arb! The author of the mailing list fork.ARB.L puts sure bets between the bookmakers that we can see from the list of the mailing list. Including Pinnacle forks and even Sbobet with these offices.

As a result, after making 224 pinnacle bets, the author has a good profit of 9.9% from the turnover! Such a profit on this office is an impossible dream for many privateers. But the author of the mailing list, as we see, does it with a bang.

There is a certain nuance: all forks are taken with a profit of at least 5%. From here, a logical question arises: *How then to deal with the statement that Pinnacle cannot be beaten with surebets?*

It can be argued that 224 pinnacle bets is a very small distance and such a profit may be due to a mathematical deviation. But if you look closely, you can add another 86 Sbobet bets here. I put this office in second place in terms of the correctness of the line after Pinnacle

Then I found out that there is at least one more mailing list on concrete (it was added later) - the status of which is marked as forked * This is a mailing list called BetPS_V2.ARB.L. To date, the author has made 295 bets on Pinnacle and has a profit of + 1.4% from turnover. The total selection of rates (608 pcs.) smooths out the dispersion, gives a slightly lower profit, but still it is more than 5% of the turnover.

How it turns out to beat the Pinnacle bookmaker with the help of surebets to these marques is a mystery to me at the moment.

One can only speculate and guess about the approximate bid selection algorithm that each author uses.

  1. All surebets are taken at least 5% yield. More often 6-8%
  2. Rates do not go flat, but according to a fixed profit strategy.

It seems to me that for certain sports the Pinnacle line is not ideal, because it is not for nothing that some small tennis tournaments and football leagues have been recently removed from the line. Yes, and the mailing data in question proves once again that there are ways to beat Pinnacle b.c. today.

Who knows, maybe it’s worth taking the marathon as a basis and doing everything exactly the opposite - put down on surebets not 0.4-2%, but more than 5% and skip events where Pinnacle is the initiator, look and there will be good chances to achieve success. In any case, there is food for thought. I will find free time and will definitely test this strategy.

If anyone has thoughts, comments or objections about this, comments are open to you.

Everyone is well aware that 99% of bookmakers cut the accounts of successful players (especially large ones) and arbers. For what?

The fact is that the usual average bookmaker makes money from the losses of its customers. Therefore, they get rid of profitable players and arbers who use errors in the line as quickly as possible. Nobody wants to pay, and paying a lot is generally unacceptable. Amateur bookmakers should be avoided by players who want to take their bets seriously.

Only professional companies and betting exchanges do not cut maximum rates.

Pinnacle is the #1 bookmaker for the professional. Why is Pinnacle not cutting bets, but rather increasing the limits?

A professional bookmaker earns not on customer losses, but on the turnover of funds! Pinnacle is interested in maximizing the volume of bets, the more bet the better. The Pinnacle bookmaker takes its percentage from the turnover, which is 1.5-2.5% (margin).

Let's say several or professionals bet impressive amounts on one W1 outcome (there is a load on the line), then the bookmaker's protection is triggered, and the odds on W2 increase, and on the contrary, they decrease on W1, thereby attracting players to bet on this result. In this way, the bookmaker balances the line and in any case will be in profit.

An example of decreasing odds at bookmakers (line load)

Why can't other BCs work like this?

The Pinnacle line is not the longest, but it is regulated by its traders in a timely manner and there are practically no errors in it.

The limits in Pinnacle, unlike other bookmakers, are the same regardless of the odds (you can bet 10,000 USD both on P2 with odds of 1.25 and on P1 with odds of 8).

For example, there is a strong load on the line towards TB2.5. The company promptly corrects the coefficients, significantly reducing them by TB2.5 and increasing them by TM2.5. As a result, there is an overestimated odds or an arbitrage situation with other bookmakers. Valuers and arbers will not miss out on the benefits and will start betting huge amounts on TM2.5, thereby leveling the Pinnacle line. That is why the company loves clients who make and overestimated odds (when the odds are higher than the mathematical expectation). It is convenient to follow the line movement graphs in a special Pinnacle Lite.

Open an account in the best office in the world!

VIP client (partner) code during registration -

MIRROR SITE

Now the link to the site mirror will redirect to the proxy server address. When the privacy error "Your connection is not secure" pops up, click on the "Advanced" button, then "add an exception" (in firefox) or "go to site" (in chrome). Don't worry, the connection is 100% SAFE.

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