I began to study ways to make money on the Internet in those distant years, when it was possible to connect to the Internet only through a dial-up modem, and the connection speed was so slow that it sometimes took up to a minute to load each page. And since I paid for the Internet by time, then at the end of the month, when the bill came, I constantly received a slap in the face from my parents. Naturally, those pennies that could be earned by reading letters, mailing and registering on sites were only a small part of the Internet bill. The next step in earning income on the Internet was high-yield investment programs, with the help of which, although I began to earn a little more, the risks also increased and, as a result, all my savings at one fine moment disappeared along with the hype projects in which they were invested. But to live on one salary, as it was said in one well-known old comedy, oh, how I did not want to.
And one day, wandering around the Internet in search of another way to earn money, I came across information about surebets betting. After reading about this system, it was not clear much. The unsuccessful experience of sports betting of my friends added doubts about the reality of this type of income, but as it turned out, betting surebets are the only legal way beat the bookmaker (all other strategies fail sooner or later). Of course, it will not work to earn millions, but it is possible to receive a small stable income.
Bookmaker fork on bets - what is it?
I have been blogging for over 6 years now. During this time, I regularly publish reports on the results of my investments. Now the public investment portfolio is more than 1,000,000 rubles.
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Let's start from the very beginning. What is a betting fork? Fork bookmakers call such a situation in which bets are made on opposite outcomes, and for any result, you are the winner. There are a lot of bookmakers on the Internet, and each of them evaluates the chances of winning different teams in their own way, therefore, the odds for the same event will differ.
In order to understand how to make sure bets on bets, let's look at the following example. Take a volleyball match between PLAYER 1 and PLAYER 2. For the victory of PLAYER 1, bookmaker A set the odds of 3.00, and bookmaker B for the victory of PLAYER 2 - 1.8.
What we do to use the fork and make a profit: we bet a large amount on PLAYER 2, because. the probability that he will win is higher, and PLAYER 1 is therefore less likely.
We place bets as follows:
— $150 in office A for PLAYER 1 at odds of 3.00
- We put $250 in office B on PLAYER 2 at a coefficient of 1.8.
The total stake will be $150 + $250 = $400.
In volleyball, there can be no draw, so it is easy to calculate what the result will be:
If we bet on PLAYER 1 and win, we will get: $150 * 3.00 = $450, which is more than our stake. The net profit will be $50.
With a bet on PLAYER 2, the calculation will be: $250 * 1.80 = $450 or also $50 profit.
What is the result?
When betting in different offices on opposite outcomes, regardless of the winning team, we will be in the black by $50! Such a situation is called betting fork.
How to find such betting surebets and make money on them? There are several ways. The first way, and the most inefficient one, is to study the odds from different bookmakers and look for surebets. We are not interested, because. very labor intensive and requires a lot of experience. To save time and simplify our work, special online services and programs that scan the lines of various bookmakers and automatically find surebets. We can only place bets and wait for the outcome of the match.
It would seem that what else is needed for a carefree life, but as in any business, there are pitfalls:
- quick appearance and disappearance of surebets (in this regard, there is a risk of not having time to bet on the necessary outcomes with the necessary odds, especially with three-way surebets);
- surebets, mainly with a small percentage of profit (to get a tangible profit, you need to have large sums at several bookmakers);
- bookmaker's commission when depositing or withdrawing funds (all offices have their own rules, but many have a commission, which is not very pleasant);
- some offices, when arbers are detected, “cut” the limits on bets (make the maximum bet on any event $ 1), or completely block the account.
And finally, a little about personal experience rates. I have been earning money with surebets for about six months. I used one of the existing programs to search for surebets. The initial deposit was 3000 rubles. To begin with, I tested the possibilities of the free version of the program (search for surebets with a profit of up to 1%). Having earned a little in this way, I purchased a subscription for a month full version program (at that time the cost was 700 rubles per month) and increased the deposit to 20,000 rubles. In the process of making money on betting surebets, those pitfalls that were written about above periodically appeared. Some offices cut the maximum rates, others required identity confirmation, thereby delaying payments. The cost of the monthly payment for the program was regularly raised (by this moment is 2000 rubles). In just six months, my earnings amounted to 30,000 rubles (with a deposit of 20,000 rubles).
P.S.
When registering with a bookmaker, indicate only reliable data that you can confirm with documents and carefully read the rules of the office, because. they have entire departments to identify arbers.
Before you start betting on surebets, you should study all the intricacies of working with them. In this article, we will try to tell you as much as possible about surebets, as well as give some valuable recommendations for beginners.
What are surebets and how do they appear?
Types of betting surebets
How much money do you need to start working with surebets?
Any restrictions in financial plan No! You can start with absolutely any amount of the initial bank, but it should be understood that the average profitability in prematch is about 10% per month, in live - up to 25%. Accordingly, than larger size your “bank” and, accordingly, rates, the more profit you will receive.
For beginners, we recommend starting with smaller bets. So you can “fill” your hand and in case of unsuccessful bets, you will not lose too much money. Over time, when you learn how to work with surebets, you can increase the size of the pot and make more big bets.
Before you start working with surebets, it is advisable to study as many materials as possible about working with them. First of all, we recommend that you familiarize yourself with the main tips and recommendations:
How to get started in prematch: .
How to start working in live:.
After reading these articles, you will learn all the advantages and disadvantages of surebets, understand how to properly set up a filter for searching for surebets, and also learn a few useful tips from professional players.
Latest Articles
What are forks?
Surebets in sports betting are unique strategy, which provides a guaranteed profit for the person making the bet, regardless of the outcome of the sporting event. This income is achieved due to the difference in coefficients between the two markets. In other words, in one bookmaker, a player makes a 1X bet with certain coefficient, and in another P2, while the coefficients are set in such a way that the client remains in profit regardless of the outcome.
Surebets are also called arbitrage or arbitrage situations. Such a strategy is considered a win-win, since the player must remain in the black regardless of the outcome of a sporting event, but the strategy cannot be called absolutely safe and win-win, because it has its own pitfalls.
| bookmakers | Game features |
| Fonbet | Is it possible to make forks in Fonbet? Of course, yes, although here it is worth playing carefully so as not to attract the attention of the company's security service. It is advisable not to keep the balance at the same level here, not to make several bets on one event during the day. In this case, surebets in Fonbet will be a great way to earn money for you. |
| Liga Stavok | Liga Stavok refers to those bookmakers that do not block arbers. It is possible that the account will be cut with the wrong approach to the game, but the account will remain with you, so you don’t have to worry about the safety of money. |
| 1xStake | The office has a low margin and a large number of sports events for betting. This is one of the best bookmakers for arbers because there are many opportunities to find suitable bets to earn money on. |
| Leon | Many players complain about the following - in Lyon there is not such an extensive line as they would like to see, however, the office is loyal to the arbitrage game and is the best office for arbers. |
| 1xBet | Using special online calculators arb scanner in bookmaker, you can place bets in 1xBet. However, be careful to keep your account safe and sound, without cutting, otherwise you will be able to bet limited amounts on all sporting events. |
| Betfair | There are foreign arb scanners that work with foreign Betfair bookmakers. Many of these resources are paid, calculated on the fact that you will win back your money in the office. |
Now you know which bookmakers do not block arbers, although we strongly recommend that you only play at legal bookmakers. Companies operating illegally can at any time deceive a client by blocking his account. Sometimes you don’t even need a reason for this, because there is always a formal reason - “suspicion of dishonest play on the part of the client.”
Surebets in bookmakers are often called the only way to make money on betting, although this is also not entirely true. Professional cappers are able to accurately predict matches and win on value bets without resorting to arbitrage situations. For those who are not yet versed in a particular sport, there are special programs for determining betting surebets.
Not all offices allow their clients to play using the surebet strategy.You do not need to search for suitable matches on your own, just turn on the program that will find arbitrage in the next matches, after which you just need to place a bet and get your profit.
Strategy features
It must be understood that the surebet strategy in bookmaker bets is not suitable for every player. Here are some features of the strategy that must be taken into account before trying it on your own gaming account:
- You should be prepared for the fact that arbitrage situations will quickly lead to a cut in the bookmaker's account. Bookmakers do not like arbers because they consider their game unfair to the company. Therefore, your account may be "cut", which means that you will not be able to bet large sums for certain sporting events.
- Betting on forks in the bookmaker implies the presence of a large game bank. To stay in a good plus, sometimes you need to make two big bets on opposite events. In no case should you borrow money to play according to the strategy, since we will see later that it can also be losing for you.
- There are bookmakers that are loyal to arbers, but this does not mean at all that you can safely play them using this strategy. Often, these companies do everything possible to ensure that there are as few arbitrage situations as possible.
- Thanks to special programs and the development of technology, it has now become more and more difficult to find betting surebets online. If such situations arise, then bookmakers quickly respond to them, correcting their oversight.
- You can search for surebets in bookmakers on your own, but it will take a lot of time and effort, which is unacceptable for most people who are busy with other things.
With this strategy, you can really make money, although not everything is as simple as it might seem at first glance. Some players once got burned on arbitrage, and now they no longer want to even think about this strategy, bypassing it.
The strategy has its own characteristics, which everyone who plays forks should definitely know about Plug types
Surebet strategies can be used both in pre-match and in live betting. Here are some examples of how arbitrations can be formed:
- The simplest surebet, consisting of only two bets. The victory of 1 team is a bet in one bookmaker, another bet in another bookmaker is on 2X. Also, sometimes you can catch profitable odds on total over and total under.
- More difficult option. 1st bet - Handicap 1(-0.5), 2nd bet - draw, 3rd bet - Handicap 2(-0.5), etc.
- In some cases, the outcomes may overlap, and therefore sometimes there may be a double win or a return of one of the bets. For example, 1 - Handicap 1 (0), 2 - draw, 3 - Victory of the 2nd team.
- In tennis, you can often catch a surebet consisting of 4-6 outcomes. This is due to the fact that here you can bet on the exact score on sets with good odds.
At the same time, all this knowledge may be useless for you if you do not improve your skills in this area. It happens that a player cannot place bets on all arbitrage options, as the bookmaker limits the size of the bet or refuses to accept it at all outside of the accumulator. In addition, the odds in the bookmaker are also changing, so you should do all the work as quickly as possible, clearly aware of what you are doing. That is why the surebet game is called a strategy for professionals.
Advantages and disadvantages
The main advantages of arbitration situations are the following:
- You can develop a win-win betting strategy on surebets. With any outcome of a sporting event, you receive a financial profit.
- There is no need to understand the basics of betting or watch a particular sport. It is enough just to search for betting surebets, without delving into other features of betting.
- You can find betting surebets for free. Today, there are special services that allow you to detect arbitrage situations, and if you wish, you can independently find suitable matches in offices.
- The arber's profit can range from 1 to 10% of the turnover, which is very good for large stakes.
- You can get a good understanding of the work of bookmakers and general principles games in betting, which in the future will allow you to make the most of accurate forecasts on the sport.
The strategy is considered a win-win, although it can lead to a minus under certain circumstances. However, the surebet strategy in betting can also be unprofitable for the player under certain circumstances. Therefore, some of its shortcomings should be mentioned:
- Fast account slicing, which means limiting the size of the bet on sporting events. Special betting services keep track of the strategy their clients use, which makes it quite easy for them to find arbers. Do not be surprised if after a few bets on arbitrage situations you can bet a maximum of 10-20 rubles on your next prediction.
- Some arb programs at bookmakers are paid, so you have to risk a lot to recoup the money spent on the strategy.
- Sometimes bookmakers act much faster than players. When the program shows you the existing arbitrage, the company is already correcting its mistake by closing the fork. Thus, you can no longer benefit from it.
- Bookmakers who are already aware of the presence of a surebet in their line may simply not accept a player's bet on one of the events. This is fraught with the fact that you will lose all the money bet on the opposite outcome if the event does not play. The company can limit the size of the bet on the opposite event, due to which the strategy will be losing.
Why Arbitrage Situations Occur?
The reasons for the appearance of surebets are quite simple and understandable:
- Competition between betting companies, as a result of which each office tries to set too much high odds to a particular event, thereby attracting the attention of customers. At the same time, for this reason, arbitrages that are beneficial to the players can be formed.
- Errors of analysts of offices, which lead to incorrect calculations and setting incorrect coefficients.
- Intentional formation of an arbitrage situation in order to “catch” a group of arbers.
There are special sites for arbers that allow you to identify such situations in a timely manner, track them in order to be able to make profitable bets in different offices.
Before playing according to this strategy, you need to carefully study all the information about surebets Do I need to become a forklift?
As you may have guessed, arbers are those people who play according to the strategy in arbitrage situations. There are many articles about how good it is to be a arber, how it brings huge profits, how you can become rich in as soon as possible etc. In reality, everything is not as simple as it might seem to a beginner who does not understand betting.
First of all, you will need to find suitable arber shops where your bets will be treated with loyalty. This is not easy to do, since almost all companies stop such activities of players, considering it dishonest and illegal.
- Create a separate game bank for betting on arbitrage situations.
- Open accounts with many bookmakers in order to be able to quickly place a bet in any company.
- It is advisable to open accounts for close people who live with you in order to be able to play in the betting shop after blocking your account or cutting your account.
- Use special programs to detect arbitrage.
Now you know who arbers are at bookmakers and how they operate.
It remains to answer the question of whether it is worth playing according to such a strategy. The fact is that arbers in a bookmaker's office receive a small percentage of the turnover, so they have to make rather large bets in order to stay in the black. If you have such an opportunity, then you can try this strategy. At the same time, be prepared for the fact that you can lose part or all of the capital due to your own carelessness, bookmaker rules, etc.
Everyone must decide for himself whether he needs to become an arber How do bookmakers calculate arbers?
Betting companies may not like the fact that one client or a group of players takes a decent monthly profit from the office, which is why their attitude towards arbers, to put it mildly, is not very good.
How do bookmakers calculate arbers? This is enough complex issue, which requires more detailed consideration. Here are a few ways to recognize these players:
- Stake amounts. This is one of the main answers to the question of how arbers are calculated in bookmakers. If a player regularly bets to the maximum, then something is wrong with him. For example, he bets all-in on some match of an unknown league, loses all the money, but after a few days or weeks he replenishes his account again and makes another all-in bet. The player's profit directly depends on the turnover of funds, so the amounts are usually large, which attracts the attention of the office's security service.
- Another way bookmakers calculate arbers is by observing players who make several separate bets on the same outcome. For example, a player bets on the match of the Second League of England Newport - Port Vale 1X in the morning, and then repeats the bet on the same match again in the evening, only at the changed odds. This is due to the fact that the odds can fluctuate throughout the day, and arbers try to take advantage of this for themselves.
- Search for surebets at bookmakers. If you think that only players use special scanners for sports betting, then you are wrong. Bookmakers have much more opportunities to find an arbitrage situation in a timely manner and correct it if necessary. Even if the bookmaker’s surebet search service didn’t work, there are some other ways to determine arbitrage.
- Maintaining the account balance at approximately the same level. If an ordinary player gradually increases his bank or loses it, then the movement of funds in the account occurs very rarely. The arber, on the other hand, strives to balance his balance in several offices, so he sometimes replenishes the account for no apparent reason, even if there is money left on it, and also withdraws funds, leaving the same amount of money on the balance sheet.
Now you understand how bookmakers catch arbers. This will help you avoid the undesirable fate of arbitrageurs and make profit from bets on arbitrage situations for as long as possible. On various forums you can also find a lot useful information about how bookmakers calculate arbers and what it means for players.
There are different tactics for playing surebets, the main thing here is to avoid attention from the bookmaker What fate befalls arbers?
What do arb sports betting lead to? Many people praise this strategy a lot, but forget that bookmakers take certain measures in relation to people who play it. Surebetters in bookmakers should be ready for the following developments:
- Account cutting to 0 rubles/dollars/hryvnias, etc. As such, you will no longer be able to place bets on your account. If, in exceptional cases, the office can make concessions to the client and restore the maximum bet size to him, then in the case of a surebet game, the company categorically prohibits him from making further bets.
- Account blocking with the inability to withdraw own funds. Only illegal offices do this, which can easily block the account and confiscate all the player's money. That is why you need to look for bookmakers who are loyal to surebetters, who can cut the account, but not steal money from the account.
- When opening a second account on the part of the player, it will also be cut to the maximum. Sometimes opening accounts for relatives does not even help, since the office closely monitors the activities of arbers.
- Due to certain restrictions of bookmakers, betting on sports online can lead to partial or complete loss of gaming capital.
- Under good circumstances, you can make money on arbitrage situations, which is what some professionals do. However, for this you need to know all the features of such a strategy in order to avoid close attention from bookmakers.
You can both earn and lose money on surebets How much can you earn on this?
How much can you really earn on surebets at Russian bookmakers? The question is extensive, since for everyone it can be different amounts of money, depending on the initial capital and the amount of bets on each sporting event.
Some manage to make good monthly profits with the help of arbitrage situations without attracting the attention of bookmakers. This requires certain knowledge, skills and a bit of luck, since there are many players whose accounts have long been blocked due to foul play in arbitrage.
Some professional players use surebets on totalizators to earn money, but this strategy is considered too risky and not entirely understandable for beginners. The arber is able to earn from 1 thousand rubles to several hundred thousand if he uses the strategy correctly and applies all the recommendations mentioned above in practice.
conclusions
Arbitrage situations guarantee the player a profit, however, bookmakers can always give an unpleasant surprise by calculating the bet with a coefficient of 1 or limiting its maximum size, so the surebets cannot be called 100% win-win strategy. At the same time, some offices allow you to play according to such a strategy, if you do not violate other rules of the company and do not take out large sums of money from there every day.
There are paid and free surebet scanners. IN Lately free services they provide very little benefit, since they offer arbitrage with a small percentage of guaranteed profits, and bets on these events can only be made in unfamiliar and unreliable bookmakers.
There are paid and free services for finding surebets in bookmakers Certain paid resources are more useful, although here, too, care must be taken not to fall into the hands of the office's security service, because this will entail cutting the account at best. It is possible to make money on surebets, but it is necessary to do it professionally, never getting excited and not being greedy in those situations when no one needs it.
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A bookmaker’s “fork” is a situation where the odds of a bookmaker’s office allow you to make several bets on opposite outcomes and make a guaranteed profit. Surebets are formed due to the difference in quotes for one event from different bookmakers. Read more about the strategy in this article.
Manual search for "forks"
It is almost impossible to find “forks” in bookmakers by yourself. You can follow the lines of bookmakers from morning to evening and still not identify an arbitrage situation. You are able to cover several offices, and it’s not a fact that “plugs” are generally possible between them.
You need to open a list for each match in different offices, compare the odds and count if there is a “fork”. This is a time-consuming process and meaningless, because many services have appeared that automatically scan the lines of dozens of bookmakers.
Fork Scanners- that's what these services and programs are called. Let's take a closer look at the main free scanners and learn how to identify arbitrage situations with their help.
Surebet Scanner - Surebet
Surebet scans the lines of more than 65 bookmakers and reveals surebets in 34 sports disciplines. Free arbitrage situations with profitability up to 1% are available. Live line is not scanned.
Registration on the resource is required for paid subscription. To use the service for free, you do not need to create an account. There are convenient filters for profitability, start time of events, ROI and "age" of the arbitrage situation. You can choose the number of outcomes (two or three), as well as specify the profit range. Additionally, sports and bookmakers are selected for scanning.
Surebet is a quality service, despite the shortcomings. First of all, these are the “forks” delays, which are 90 seconds. Sometimes there are mistakes in little-known disciplines: cricket, chess, bowls and others.
Arb search service – OddStorm
The site has a user-friendly interface and high speed. OddStorm scans more than 60 bookmakers and finds prematch and live surebets. Instead of using the site, you can install special program on PC.
In the free version, arbitrage situations are capped at 1%. After registration, it becomes possible to identify "forks" with a profit of up to 1.5%.
The bet percentage is displayed next to the bet. That is, if 100 rubles are allocated for the "fork", then the service immediately shows how many percent of this amount to put on each "shoulder".
It is important to respond quickly to "plugs" because they do not "exist" for long. It is possible to set up a sound notification when new forks are found. A standard filter by bookmakers is available.
Arb service – AllBestBets
AllBestBets scans over 100 bookmakers. Live "arbs" are provided for 9 sports disciplines, and prematch - for 23. You can install the Arb Helper plugin, which allows you to open an event in the line of the office in one click and not manually search for it. Arbitrage situations are filtered by sports, bookmakers, bet type, tournaments, profitability, surebet detection time and match start time.
Erroneous "forks" are almost never found. If an incorrect "fork" is detected, any user can notify the administration about this through a special notification button.
It is almost impossible to use live forks, because in the free version of the site, the delay reaches 15 minutes. The delay in the publication of prematch "forks" is insignificant - a minute. Arbitrage situations, the yield of which exceeds 1%, are not shown.
Arb search through Breaking-Bet
The project is in beta mode, so surebets of any yield are available for free, but only after registration. The system scans the lines of more than 20 offices. The list is constantly updated. Arbitrage situations are identified in 7 main disciplines: football, hockey, basketball, tennis, volleyball, handball and baseball.
There is a text and sound notification. "Forks" are sorted by profit, offices, time, sport and number of outcomes (2 or 3). Arbitrage situations that do not suit you personally can be removed from general list. If an error is found, it is possible to notify the administration.
Live surebet scanner – Positivebet
The service scans the data of 34 bookmakers and the Betfair betting exchange in football, basketball, hockey, tennis and volleyball. The resource specializes exclusively in live "forks". You will not find prematch "forks".
Filters and other features are available after registration. Unauthorized users can only see "arbs" with a yield of up to 1%.
Positivebet has an extension that makes betting easier. The bet amount from the surebet calculator is automatically transferred to the coupon on the bookmaker's website. The plugin can be installed in popular browsers (Chrome, Opera, Mozilla).
Summary
"Forks" only in theory are able to bring constant and 100% win, however, there are pitfalls that make life difficult for arbers.
You may not have time to close the “fork” leverage, or overlook that the bookmaker has an insufficient maximum bet limit. Bookmaker quotes are constantly changing, so while you make one deal, the value for another outcome may change. Yes, returns are not excluded.
Even when using auxiliary services to find arbitrage situations, do not trust them completely. Check the data yourself. Only then place your bets.
Bookmaker 1xBet gives 4000 rubles for registration.
How to use betting surebets correctly in order to have a stable income, all the subtleties of playing on surebets are based on real reviews.
What are betting surebets
Betting surebets (arbitrage situations) is a betting strategy in which a player bets on one event in different bookmakers, but on mutually exclusive outcomes, and the odds for these outcomes are added up so that the player is guaranteed to make a profit in any scenario.
For a better understanding, let's look at a simple example.
Barcelona vs Shinnik match. For simplicity, let's imagine that this is the Champions League final and there can be no draw. Accordingly, only 2 events are possible:
- Barcelona to win
- Shinnik will win
1st Bookmaker gives the following odds:
And the 2nd Bookmaker is:
This is the fork:
Let's see what will happen with each outcome if we bet on these odds (with a bank of 100 rubles)
With each of the 2 possible outcomes of the event, we remain in the black by 8p. That is, we have a profit, regardless of how the match ends.
64 rubles, 36… Where did these figures come from? We calculated them using the formula (an analysis of formulas with examples and a calculator is given in the next paragraph).
If someone does not believe that this happens - here is a real hockey surebet between 2 well-known bookmakers
Bank 100 rubles:
Sports forks on double outcome in football, hockey, basketball, it does not have to be for the victory of one or another team. It could be:
- TB 2.5 / TM 2.5
- One team win / draw
- H1(1.5) / H2 (-1.5)
- Etc., i.e. mutually exclusive events
But there are also forks with triple, quarter, etc. outcomes
Examples of a surebet with a triple outcome:
- 1X2 - victory of 1 team / draw / victory of 2 teams;
- Forks with totals in tennis (if they play up to 2 sets):
score 2:0 / score 0:2 / total sets played 3
Three-way surebets can be not only for 3 mutually exclusive outcomes, but also for cases:
- When 2 outcomes out of 3 win;
- When for 1 or 2 outcomes the bet is returned to you (this applies to bets on handicap and totals in football).
Simple example TB(1) / TM(1.5) / TM(0.5). In case of score 1:0 TB(1) the bet is returned and plus TM(1.5) wins.
An example of a quadruple surebet
- Outcomes in tennis if played before the first 2 sets: 2-0 / 2-1 / 1-2 / 0-2
And even a six-way fork
- By sets in tennis, if they play up to 3 sets: 0:3 / 1:3 / 2:3 / 3:0 / 3:1 / 3:2
The formula for calculating the betting surebet
There is a formula to calculate the surebet
B = 1/K1 + 1/K2 + 1/K3
IN– Value indicating whether there is a fork or not.
If B>1- no fork
If in<1 - there is a fork.
K1, K2, K3, K4 etc. - odds of bets on mutually exclusive outcomes, how many possible outcomes there are as many odds.
Let's consider our example:
0,92 < 1 – значит это вилка
Yield in% = 100 - (B * 100)
In our case, this is:
100 – (0,92*100) = 8 %
Now let's determine how much money to bet on each event. There is also a formula for this
P– The amount of the bet on the outcome,
TO- coefficient on the outcome,
IN– the value of the surebet calculated by the first formula,
WITH– the sum of all bets on the event or money that you have allocated for the surebet bet.
Let's say our bank is 100r
We calculate the bet on Barca: 1/1.7/0.92*100r = 64r
We calculate the bet on the Shinnik: 1/3.0/0.92*100r = 36r
It is also worth noting that nothing prevents us from redistributing bet amounts so that winning with a more likely outcome (winning the favorite) gives more profit, and betting on a less likely outcome (winning the outsider) simply gives zero profit, insuring us.
Surebets - Online Calculator
So that the brain does not explode from all these formulas and do not count all this manually each time, the following is an online arbitrage calculator that will help you calculate:
Overvalued Middles
Another derivative of surebets is overvalued middles. In a nutshell, we have:
- 1st bookmaker odds 2.0 on over 0.5
- 2nd bookmaker odds 2.5 on TM 1.5
Accordingly, if 0 goals or more than 1 are scored, then we won, but if there is 1 goal, then 2 bets are played and we have excess profit. But this is a convergent corridor, there are also non-converging corridors, more on this in the next article.
Incomplete forks
Another variation is the strategy of incomplete surebets or Dutching.
The case when we select an event and bet on the most likely outcomes, skipping outcomes with a low probability. An incomplete surebet can be used when placing bets even within the same bookmaker.
negative fork
The same surebet, but resulting in a loss.
What's the point then?
They work well together with bonus offers from bookmakers: Cash-back, risk free-bet and others.
For example Free Bet. The bottom line is that the bookmaker gives you a chance to bet with his money, and in case of success, the amount of winnings (minus the amount of the bet) goes to you, and in case of failure, you do not risk anything, since this is, as it were, the bookmaker's money.
How can this be applied in practice? This method is called "Matched Betting"
For example:
- You bet 100 rubles with odds of 1.26 on the victory of Manchester,
- In another bookmaker, you use a promotion and make a Free Bet of 100 rubles with odds of 3.6 on a Bournemouth win or a draw with the bookmaker's money.
With any outcome, we have about 40% profit
A similar scheme can be performed with a Cash-Back offer and other similar bookmaker promotions.
Important: always carefully read all the conditions of the promotion, because it may turn out that in the pursuit of profit you will not notice the main thing that is always hidden behind the asterisks. For example, to withdraw the money won, you need to scroll the amount on the account 3 more times. But this is also not a problem, how to get out of this situation further.
Negative surebets are often used as an alternative to regular surebets when they do not appear to wager bonus funds (wager). That is, they help to scroll the funds the required number of times without significant losses.
Unclear? Example: you registered in the bookmaker and the bookmaker, for joy, issued a bonus in the form of $ 200 for your replenishment of the deposit. But I put them not on your real account, but on a bonus one. Having set the condition: that they will be transferred to the real one, when the turnover of funds in bets is $ 2000, and the coefficient must be at least 2.0. The question arises: how to make such a turnover without the risk of losing your hard-earned money? The answer to it can be a surebet, and if there is none (after all, you are limited in the choice of a bookmaker and odds), then a negative surebet (for fishlessness and cancer fish), which will allow you to turn off the required amount with minimal loss.
Additionally
And finally, if there is not enough information, videos from YouTube: surebets on sports betting in bookmaker
